Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

Hogan in trouble and several non-battleground state polls from Emerson

Emerson polls taken 9/12-9/13 against likely voters:

MARYLAND
Trump33
Harris65
U.S. Senate:
Hogan42
Alsobrooks49
INDIANA
Trump58
Harris41
MISSOURI
Trump55
Harris43

Also a poll of MO from Change Research (D):

MISSOURI
Trump50
Harris41

210 responses to “Hogan in trouble and several non-battleground state polls from Emerson”

  1. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    First !!

    Like

  2. Like

  3. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    Head Rasmussen pollster Mark Mitchell, on the state of the race.
    I sure hope this guy is right.

    https://x.com/bennyjohnson/status/1836138933648003304?s=46&t=j3o7buVbI9kLYuftUwY1bg

    Like

  4. I don’t know what was up with those polls showing Hogan up by 18 or so a few months ago. This race won’t be close.

    Like

  5. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    End Wokeness tweet on X

    PA mail-in ballot requests:

    2020, 50 days before the election:
    🔵Dems: 1,101,962 (+725,000)
    🔴GOP: 376,956

    2024, 50 days before the election:
    🔵Dems: 798,946 (+477,869)
    🔴GOP: 321,077

    If this is how the mail-in breakdown ends up, we are in a phenomenal position.

    Scooter

    Like

  6. So, ras guy says it’s trump plus 2. Nothing has changed.

    Like

  7. Like

  8. J D Vance crushes it in an Eau Claire WI campaign stop. He is so quick on his feet answering stupid press questions. The crowd was 100% behind Vance too. He exceeds my expectations of him on a daily basis – so different from most milquetoast, establishment politician types!

    Like

  9. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    Eric Daugherty on X

    BREAKING: North Carolina mail-in requests continue getting more favorable for Republicans

    MAIL-IN REQUESTS [change from 2020]:
    🔵 Democrat: 37.95% [-8.02]
    🔴 Republican: 23.02% [+3.21]

    BY RACE:
    🔴 White: 71.74% [+6.29]
    🔵 Black: 10.92% [-7.17]

    Like

  10. So people who attended s rally with Vance were 100% behind Vance? Wow.

    Like

  11. As a Senator, Vance is part of the Establishment.

    Like

  12. Kamala now +2 in the RCP average.

    Trump down 12 at Predictit and 2 at Polymarket.

    There is definitely a “Kamala is ahead” vibe, hopefully it can be reversed.

    Like

  13. jason, the tell on these media polls showing Harris surging is the sudden surge in Biden’s approval and favorability. He is incapable of doing anything to improve. The only reason for his improvement is the byproduct of the pollsters putting their thumbs on the scale to help Harris.

    Liked by 1 person

  14. I still can’t think of one demographic or one state where Vance helps bring in a single vote.

    Like

  15. The only reason for his improvement is the byproduct of the pollsters putting their thumbs on the scale to help Harris.”

    I believe it. The problem is that it seems to be working.

    Like

  16. The crowd was 100% behind Vance too.”

    LOL

    What a surprise, huh?

    Like

  17. it would be working if we saw movement in reputable polls. We don’t see that.

    Like

  18. Trump would probably be up 3 or 4 with Youngkin, Scott or Haley.

    Liked by 1 person

  19. Like

  20. it would be working if we saw movement in reputable polls. We don’t see that.”

    “Reputable polls”?

    That is remarkably close to the old HHR tradition of cherry picking polls and only wanting to accept polls that fit the “we are winning” narrative.

    Looking at the RCP average I see a sea of blue polls, and only 3 lonely red ones. Maybe only the red ones are “reputable”, but RCP is hardly a left wing site and their average is used by a lot of MSM sources.

    https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris

    Like

  21. Those Nv voters from cbs report do not appear to like quemala and Timmy.

    Like

  22. and with Youngkin, Virginia would have flipped

    Like

  23. Like

  24. Biden’s Beotch = sabateur.

    Like

  25. Biden’s Beotch wants to do a deal with quemala

    Like

  26. jason, I am taking about Big Village out with a Harris +8 poll, and the very inaccurate pollster from 2020, Morning Consult showing +6, and those with similar numbers, that also have Biden approval suddenly looking great. There are many reputable pollsters showing anything from a narrow Trump lead to a Harris lead of 3 or even 4, but in most of those scenarios, Trump wins the electoral college. Flip GA and PA = 270.

    Like

  27. I am fine with raising taxes to increase Pentagon funding, but ONLY for that.

    Like

  28. Wtf is the potential R majority leader mentioning “raising taxes.” He self damages the r brand.

    Like

  29. Free passers to defend Biden’s Beotch in 3, 2, 1…

    Like

  30. Here is the problem.

    There is a story out on how David Muir has lost 12% of his viewership since the debate.

    That sounds good until you realize 12% is ONE MILLION viewers.

    It means he has like 10 million viewers.

    And they will all only get the news that Kamala is way ahead in the polls.

    Like

  31. Note how Tina dishonestly leaves out that the “tax increase” is for the Pentagon.

    Like

  32. Wtf is the potential R majority leader mentioning “raising taxes.” He self damages the r brand.”

    Zzzzzz……

    Like

  33. I hope Biden’s Beotch does not become the majority leader. Garbage in and out with that loser.

    Like

  34. The Pentagon needs more funds for the Navy, we are way short on ships. And for recruiting, way short on enlistments.

    Like

  35. What would you expect from somebody who creates fake posts and then argues with them?

    Like

  36. I love tax increases.

    -free passer.

    Like

  37. I love Mitch.

    -free passer

    Like

  38. I wonder who is more of a RINO?

    Mitch McConnell, who has been a REAL conservative and a REAL Republican for 50 years or Donald Trump, who has been a FAKE conservative and FAKE Republican for less than 10 years.

    Like

  39. My wine chick friends also see a sea of blue.

    -free passer

    Like

  40. I give a free pass to Trump, the Mother of all RINOS.

    I give a free pass to Putin the War Criminal.

    • Tina Free Passer

    See, I give names to the real “free passers

    Like

  41. What would you expect from somebody who creates fake posts and then argues with them?’

    The expectations are indeed low, but once in awhile you would think she would have an honest post, just because of the law of averages.

    I guess not.

    Like

  42. Dw, what is he referencing?


    Donald J. Trump

    @realDonaldTrump·

    BIG LEAD IN THE JUST RELEASED RASMUSSEN POLL, ONE OF THE FEW THAT GOT IT RIGHT!

    Like

  43. Harris has led in only 1 out of the last 10 polls of Georgia. The 1 poll was a CNN poll that gave her a 1 point lead.

    Harris has led in only 2 of the last 10 polls of Pennsylvania. The two were Suffolk and Morning Consult, each giving her a lead of 3. Suffolk was off in Biden’s favor by 6 in 2020, and Morning Consult was off in Biden’s favor by 8 in 2020.

    So from here, it looks like Trump is in a better place to get to 270 than Harris.

    Liked by 1 person

  44. So from here, it looks like Trump is in a better place to get to 270 than Harris.’

    Good, I hope you are not at “30,000 feet”.

    Like

  45. Thanks, but I thought he was referring to a just released pole. As that one came out this am?

    Like

  46. Harris has led in only 1 out of the last 10 polls of Georgia.”

    I can’t get excited about polls showing Trump ahead in GA. If Trump loses GA (or NC) he is not winning the election.

    Like

  47. My wine chick friends also see a sea of blue.”

    Must have good color vision.

    https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris

    Like

  48. “Good, I hope you are not at “30,000 feet”.”

    Nope. 16 inches away from my computer where I can easily read the list of the last ten polls of both states.

    Like

  49. Like

  50. wow, Sara sanders dropped a lot of weight. I did not recognize her.

    Like

  51. Don’t take me wrong. Trump could lose. The election is far from over and it could go either way. But if you remove all the names and the clutter and look at the two most critical states, GA and PA, and candidate “A” has only led in one of the last ten polls in GA and only 2 of the last 10 polls in PA, you would rather be in the position of candidate “B”.

    Liked by 1 person

  52. PRESIDENT TRUMP: “I’m putting a 200% tariff” on cars being made in Mexico “which will make them unsellable in the United States.”

    Stupid and self defeating protectionist garbage.

    Like

  53. nd only 2 of the last 10 polls in PA,”

    Yeah, PA is the “shining star” so far for Trump’s chances.

    As long as he is competitive in PA, he is competitive in the election.

    Like

  54. Evidently a lot of terrorists literally lost their balls.

    “Sean Moorhouse, a former British Army officer and explosive ordnance disposal expert, said videos of the blasts suggested a small explosive charge — as small as a pencil eraser — had been placed into the devices. They would have had to have been rigged prior to delivery, very likely by Mossad, Israel’s foreign intelligence agency, he said.

    Elijah J. Magnier, a Brussels-based senior political risk analyst, said he spoke with Hezbollah members who had examined pagers that failed to explode. What triggered the blasts, he said, appeared to be an error message sent to all the devices that caused them to vibrate, forcing the user to click on the buttons to stop the vibration. The combination detonated a small amount of explosives hidden inside and ensured that the user was present when the blast went off, he said.”

    Like

  55. I guess Trump would prefer that Mexican auto workers would cross into the U.S. illegally than build cars in Mexico.

    Like

  56. I prefer Ccp cars.

    -free passer

    Like

  57. Fact check True.

    Like

  58. Michigan Rally:

    Day 1 we are doing 2 things, close the border and Drill Baby Drill.

    Like

  59. Like

  60. Michigan Rally:

    Day 1 we are doing 2 things, close the border and Drill Baby Drill.”

    Smart.

    Stupid tariffs and trade wars?

    Idiotic.

    Like

  61. The woman is the one who followed the assassin and took down the plate. Brave lady.

    Like

  62. I bet we will find out soon that he was an asset to the federal gubment.

    Like

  63. I guess Trump would prefer that Mexican auto workers would cross into the U.S. illegally than build cars in Mexico.”

    Trump is so stupid he doesn’t understand that trying to artificially protect the US industry will make the cars “unsellable” here too.

    Like

  64. we could find that out, and you know what, not one Harris voter will change their mind because of it. Not one MSM outlet would cover it, or if they did, they would marginalize it.

    So no sense dwelling on it.

    Like

  65. I bet we will find out soon that he was an asset to the federal gubment.”

    Zzzzzzz….

    They must be running really low on “assets”.

    Like

  66. Has the Gateway Pundit given up on trying to prove the basement dwelling loser in Butler was a “gubment asset” and is ready to move on to the next loser?

    Like

  67. I read at HHR that everybody on J6 was an asset

    Like

  68. Was this guy “deep state”?

    If he was, he will probably win the “calling the most attention to himself Deep Stater in history” award.

    Like

  69. I think the Deep State is trying a very clever tactic.

    They call so much attention to themselves that nobody can believe they are Deep State.

    This is absolutely brilliant.

    Like

  70. Our future:

    BREAKING: Hillary Clinton suggests jailing Americans for posting “misinformation” “There needs to be deterrence”

    Like

  71. detectivecreativelyea379f79a0 Avatar
    detectivecreativelyea379f79a0

    Anything new on the Debate affidavit story? It seems following the second assassination attempt, it has disappeared from the news. Haven’t even seen much on X about it.

    Like

  72. I feel bad for Hogan.

    He is doing 25 pts better than Trump and still losing by 7.

    Like

  73. It was real but it merely confirmed what everyone knew. They were in the tank for Kamala but the most explosive allegation (that they got the questions in advance) was not in the affidavit, only “sample questions.

    Like

  74. The Deep Stater met with members of Congress.

    I tell, you them devils are clever.

    Like

  75. I think if they wore Deep State sweatshirts that would actually hide their Deep State membership.

    Like

  76. Trump should invent a Time Machine. He could then uninvent planes, helicopters, rockets and ships so America could really be isolated.

    -Cult Member

    Like

  77. So if Trump is so bad you why don’t you Pa guys just vote for Kamala. It’s the swing state delux in this election. Kamala would be thrilled.

    Like

  78. re abc.

    The whistleblower account remains unverified. However, there may be congressional action.

    Not sure if the new whistleblower is the same whistleblower. Also, not sure if it’s related to the abc debate, or an edit of an interview done for quemala.

    https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/09/rep-dan-meuser-says-abc-news-could-be/

    Like

  79. Because I am an adult living in the real world and would never let a Democrat go unopposed. I always vote for the Republican nominee. Even a RINO like Trump.

    Like

  80. Bill Ackerman has also sent out a lot of tweets. Apparently, he sent a tweet to Bob Egore asking for an investigation.

    Like

  81. Oh noes. Springfield city manager now acknowledges constituents reports of illegals eating dogs and cats.

    Like

  82. We are at #2. #3 is coming from the nro.

    #1 The illegals did not eat cats and dogs.

    #2 The illegals may have eaten cats and dogs, but trump is still mean.

    #3 The conservative case as to why it’s ok for illegals to eat cats and dogs.

    Like

  83. “I still can’t think…”

    -Jason wrote this earlier….why he kept writing is unclear, as the first 4 words summed up the whole sentence. A-Hole with diarrhea of the mouth?

    Like

  84. Each time Jd Vance appears he does well. I don’t know much about him, but he is excellent.

    Like

  85. Just returned from 2 day trip to Lancaster PA. Drove through central PA, saw lots more Trump signs than Harris. Hey but this PA is not Philly or Pittsburgh.

    Saw sight and Sound show in Lancaster. “Daniel”.

    I thought it was gonna be about the Daniel in Elton John’s song: “Daniel is traveling tonight on a plane, I can see the red tail lights, heading off to Spain…

    …I miss Daniel, yeah I miss him so much.”

    BUT IT WASN’T! It was about Daniel in the Bible…interpreting dreams…Shadrach, Meshack, Abendigo in the fiery furnace, Daniel in the Lion’s den. It was a good show.

    We ate well too.

    Like

  86. You guys who post and fisk the polls are doing a crack up job. Kudos to you.

    Liked by 1 person

  87. “I still can’t think of one demographic or one state where Vance helps bring in a single vote.”

    -Erie County PA.?

    As Ann Coulter points out often, white men w/o a college degree did not come out as forcefully for Trump in 2020 as they did in 2016. Hopefully, Vance will re-energize that vote.

    Also, Hillbilly Elegy was a pretty big hit when it was released, and got Vance favorable press. Women don’t forget the emotional response they had to that book. Hopefully it will translate into giving Trump a 2nd look.

    His performance in front of opposition media has also been exemplary, and I’m not sure an executive like Youngkin or Burgum could have performed as well in the position of lieutenant to “general” Trump.

    Like

  88. “Trump would probably be up 3 or 4 with Youngkin, Scott or Haley.”

    -Is there any evidence of this?

    Could Youngkin been able to defend the Trump issues which always come up?

    I’m not sure how he would have handled being a 2nd in command. Much different job description when Trump is the main feature.

    Like

  89. You didn’t day hi to Jason?

    On my street, there is one house with a Trump sign and one with a Harris sign. My neighborhood is not big on signs for President. There are usually more signs for School Board races.

    Liked by 1 person

  90. Jason said he likes the taste of Guinea pigs. Are we kicking him out next?

    Like

  91. Erickson says since first ass@assination attempt, Trump off game. Especially since Biden dropped out, Trump not going to be able to prove he can beat Biden. Gives Trump some good advice, IMO.

    Like

  92. “Note how Tina dishonestly leaves out that the “tax increase” is for the Pentagon.”

    -Are you for real!?!?

    jason is George H W Bush reincarnate over there.

    How tone deaf does someone have to be to even broach the subject of a tax increase?

    Like

  93. “Stupid tariffs and trade wars?”

    -Yeah, they really ruined the economy from Jan 2017 until Feb 2020!

    YES, this is sarcasm!

    Like

  94. How are you doing, Phil?

    Like

  95. Jason said he likes the taste of Guinea pigs. Are we kicking him out next?”

    I hope those neighbors that “lost” their guinea pigs when I first came to America don’t start adding 2 + 2….

    Like

  96. “I wonder who is more of a RINO?

    Mitch McConnell, who has been a REAL conservative and a REAL Republican for 50 years or Donald Trump, who has been a FAKE conservative and FAKE Republican for less than 10 years.”

    -Oh Lord.

    McConnell has been a “conservative” in power and has presided over a budget that is trillions of $$ overbudget every year.
    Trump was in office for 4 years.

    Neither one of them is a conservative, but McConnell has enriched himself and his family while in office just like Democrats do. Trump has not.

    Like

  97. Absolutely makes no sense why Biden’s Beotch would advocate tax increases.

    Like

  98. Gives Trump some good advice, IMO.”

    He won’t take it.

    Like

  99. Erica the red has no specifics. Triple cheeseburger please.

    Like

  100. Every speech, including tonite townhall,

    close the border.

    drill baby drill

    no tax on tips, ot, and ss.

    tariff Mexico /ccp.

    erica the red, trump not talking about the issues.

    Like

  101. McConnell has been a “conservative” in power and has presided over a budget that is trillions of $$ overbudget every year.”

    Zzzzz…..

    And Trump was happy to sign “overbudget” bills no problem. I know, I know, NYC thinks “he just signed them”.

    At least McConnell never said something as stupid as Trump. did, “deficits don’t matter, we can just keep printing money”.

    Of course, NYC used to think big spending Rs were “bad”, until Trump.

    Then Trump got a free pass every year.

    And remember when NYC said he was “against tariffs”?

    Of course, when Trump’s started his stupid tariffs and trade wars, all of a sudden they were the “best tariffs and trade wars in the history of mankind”.

    NYC is a poor bastard always at war with himself and always willing to sell whatever “conservative” principles he had down the river.

    Like

  102. cut energy prices by half= sharp reduction in inflation.

    Erica does mention “going to Springfield” but trump,already said he was. Nothing new there from Erica the red.

    Like

  103. We need tax increases.

    free passers and Biden’s Beotch agree

    Like

  104. “Neither one of them is a conservative”

    No, Trump is not a conservative.

    McConnell has been an actual conservative and an actual Republican for decades and decades, he didn”t borrow the labels in the last 5 minutes of his political life like Trump.

    McConnell EARNED his reputation as a conservative, he didn’t have to buy it or borrow it.

    Like

  105. “Then hit the road. Go to middle American cities in swing states and spend time with the local news stations. Ignore Fox and CNN. Instead, spend time with the local press and citizens in Eau Claire, Wisconsin, or Cadillac, Michigan, or Altoona, Pennsylvania. Go to Las Vegas and Winston-Salem, North Carolina, and Tucson, Arizona, and Atlanta. Everywhere you go, start and end with where you ended the debate: Harris has been on the job for over three and a half years, and look at the economy, the border and crime.

    When reporters inevitably do their jobs and ask you tough questions about 2020, you are not disciplined enough to avoid taking the bait. But you can still say, regardless of 2020, Harris is there now, and look at the economy, the border and crime.”

    -Agree with this for sure.

    Like

  106. It would be better off if Biden’s Beotch just quit the disguise and root for quemala.

    Like

  107. Erick Erickson is a Never Trumper moron.

    He is right that Trump surrounds himself with people who often don’t serve his interests well.

    Both can be true.

    Like

  108. ”go to American cities”. Thank you Erica.

    doesn’t tonight count, flint, mi?

    Like

  109. I am against tariffs, theoretically, just like Reagan was.

    But like Reagan, sometimes for political reasons, and short-term calculations, and maybe to negotiate better deals, using tariffs as a cudgel against an adversary is necessary.

    Like

  110. I don’t know any Rs that would ever go to Flint. Not even Quittens who was born in Michigan.

    Like

  111. The US military is depleted because of Ukraine spending.

    I oppose money to strengthen the US military.

    I had no issue with Trump’s spending.

    – Cult Member

    Like

  112. This right too.

    “Additionally, if you were wise, you would spend less time surrounding yourself with people like Laura Loomer and others who whisper to you that all is well. All is not well. The American people are still willing to give you a chance, but you are more interested in talking about the crazy things fed to you from the online world than the real-world things normal, undecided voters care about.

    At this point, as has been true for some time, you will not pivot. You will not change who you are. But if you do not change your conduct, you will lose and go to prison. Your campaign is staffed well with competent people at the highest level. They are not the problem. Who you’ve surrounded yourself with and what you say is the problem. If you do not fix those things, you will lose, and a prison sentence looms”

    Like

  113. He definitely should tariff the Ccp cars coming through from Mexico.

    Tariff the Ccp for the China virus (reparations).

    Like

  114. “McConnell EARNED his reputation as a conservative, he didn’t have to buy it or borrow it.”

    -Oh Lord.

    With Republicans who admire politicians like this, its a good reason why our national debt has exploded like it has.

    Just like “CG” who said the child molester Hastert was a conservative, and overlooked that these SOBs would never reduce the power of the federal leviathan if it meant giving up any of their own power.

    Like

  115. I am against tariffs, theoretically,”

    LOL

    No, you WERE against tariffs, but since Trump adopted the failed AFL-CIO agenda of the last 70 years and implemented a trade policy based on idiotic tariffs and stupid trade wars, you of course sold out your “conservative” principle (and yes, free trade, free markets and free enterprise are CONSERVATIVE PRINCIPLES”.

    Like

  116. No way can we counter the Ccp, the #1 threat.

    Like

  117. we have baby steps here..

    No peace proposal became a peace proposal.

    weapons are not depleted became weapons are depleted.

    Like

  118. SOBs would never reduce the power of the federal leviathan if it meant giving up any of their own power.”

    Zzzzz….

    Like Trump, who as a liberal democrat for decades said Democratic policies were better for the economy.

    Like Trump, a crony capitalist with ZERO interest in limited government who said deficits don’t matter, print more money.

    You really think Trump is the man to “reduce the power of the federal leviathan”.

    Really?

    Whenever I think you can’t say something stupider, you rise to the occasion.

    Like

  119. Zzzzzzzz As Vic has explained repeatedly smart enough to understand, most of the military aid sent to Ukraine was destined to be retired or outdated.

    Liked by 1 person

  120. Biden’s Beotch is no conservative.

    Like

  121. Trump won in 2016, mentioning tariffs at every stop.

    If you think short-term use of tariffs is not a political benefit, then so be it.

    Principles are a guide but Politics is not a religion. I’ll stay flexible, unlike “deadenders” who won’t vote for Trump. Thanks.

    Like

  122. our military is depleted. Period end of story.

    Like

  123. “You really think Trump is the man to “reduce the power of the federal leviathan”.”

    -If Trump gets back in, and RFK, Musk and the like are given seats at the table, a Republican Congress with Mitch McConnell at the helm will be their biggest impediment.

    Like

  124. He definitely should tariff the Ccp cars coming through from Mexico.

    Tariff the Ccp for the China virus (reparations)”

    Zzzzzz…..

    This would just be another tax on the American people, especially those least able to afford it.

    Tariffs will hurt American consumers a lot more than they will hurt China.

    Like

  125. You can add in goober, thune, and the next fill in for Quittens.

    Like

  126. Trump has been saying lots of things for the past 50 years.

    Then he governed for 4 years.

    He was better than both Bushes, without a doubt.

    Was he everything I wanted when it came to spending? No, not at all, but better than those 2 by far.

    Like

  127. our military is depleted. Period end of story.”

    Ahhh, so maybe we SHOULD fund it more?

    You can’t have it both ways.

    I am glad you came around to McConnell’s position.

    Baby steps, baby steps.

    Like

  128. Incorrect, prices declined the most once trump enacted his tariffs against the Ccp. That dog won’t hunt.

    Like

  129. “Tariffs will hurt American consumers a lot more than they will hurt China.”

    -2017-Feb 2020 American consumer says something different.

    Like

  130. I don’t support tax increases like fake Rs

    Like

  131. Trump has been saying lots of things for the past 50 years.”

    Yeah, but you only believe what you want to believe.

    But take it to the bank, he has flip flopped a lot because he has no core values, but the ONE thing that he has always been consistent on is economic isolationism.

    It is one of the Democratic and AFL-CIO doctrines he has never abandoned.

    Like

  132. “Ahhh, so maybe we SHOULD fund it more?”

    -Yeah, our government needs MORE money to spend……and this guy says he is a conservative…..

    Like

  133. Incorrect, prices declined the most once trump enacted his tariffs against the Ccp.”

    BS. Tariffs increase prices.

    You really are a moron.

    Liked by 1 person

  134. Biden’s Beotch will be used against every r.

    Biden’s Beotch supports tax increases, so do you?

    He is an ied.

    Like

  135. Our military isn’t depleted. The equipment we are “sending” is surplus, antiquated and not usable for us, or comes from nations whom we sent the equipment to already (70+%). You’d be surprised where it all comes from BUT it has not depleted us.

    We send NO sophisticated weapons, aircraft, high tech weaponry. etc etc etc

    Like

  136. Back to “isolationism”!! LOL!

    Ok, that’s enough. Says the same crap over and over, despite the evidence showing otherwise.

    Believe what you want, jason. Harris will be worse, so I’ll concentrate on getting Trump in there and then I’ll worry about his (laughable) “isolationism”!! LOL!

    Like

  137. Nope, prices went down.

    try again

    Like

  138. -Yeah, our government needs MORE money to spend……and this guy says he is a conservative…..”

    Yes, i support more funding for the Pentagon, more funds for recruiting, more funds for the Navy for more ships, more military aid for Ukraine, Israel and Taiwan.

    And yes, that is a CONSERVATIVE position.

    Like

  139. Nope, prices went down.”

    Tina just invented a new law of economics.

    Well, she thinks she did.

    The ignorance is astounding.

    Like

  140. “BS. Tariffs increase prices.”

    -On certain goods.

    And consumers had choices. And from 2017-Feb 2020, the American consumer liked the choices they had, and were in support of those policies in place.

    Like

  141. Key Finding

    • The Trump administration imposed nearly $80 billion worth of new taxes on Americans by levying tariffs on thousands of products valued at approximately $380 billion in 2018 and 2019, amounting to one of the largest tax increases in decades.
    • The Biden administration has kept most of the Trump administration tariffs in place, and in May 2024, announced tariff hikes on an additional $18 billion of Chinese goods, including semiconductors and electric vehicles, for an additional tax increase of $3.6 billion.
    • We estimate the Trump-Biden tariffs will reduce long-run GDP by 0.2 percent, the capital stock by 0.1 percent, and employment by 142,000 full-time equivalent jobs.
    • Altogether, the trade war policies currently in place add up to $79 billion in tariffs based on trade levels at the time of tariff implementation and excluding behavioral and dynamic effects.
    • Before accounting for behavioral effects, the $79 billion in higher tariffs amounts to an average annual tax increase on US households of $625. Based on actual revenue collections data, trade war tariffs have directly increased tax collections by $200 to $300 annually per US household, on average. Both estimates understate the cost to US households because they do not factor in the lost output, lower incomes, and loss in consumer choice the tariffs have caused.
    • Candidate Trump has proposed significant tariff hikes as part of his presidential campaign; we estimate that if imposed, his proposed tariff increases would hike taxes by another $524 billion annually and shrink GDP by at least 0.8 percent, the capital stock by 0.7 percent, and employment by 684,000 full-time equivalent jobs. Our estimates do not capture the effects of retaliation, nor the additional harms that would stem from starting a global trade war.
    • Academic and governmental studies find the Trump-Biden tariffs have raised prices and reduced output and employment, producing a net negative impact on the US economy.

    Like

  142. us import prices 2019-2020. Check out the decline.

    but Muh tariffs raise prices wrote the tax raiser

    Like

  143. But you supported Trump signing massive spending bills without comment. You never protested Trump saying deficits don’t matter because we can just print more money.

    Like

  144. And from 2017-Feb 2020, the American consumer liked the choices they had, and were in support of those policies in place.”

    Zzzzzzzz…..

    Drivel and garbage.

    Like

  145. And Tina is not a Republican anyway.

    Like

  146. The Trump administration imposed nearly $80 billion worth of new taxes on Americans by levying tariffs on thousands of products valued at approximately $380 billion in 2018 and 2019, amounting to one of the largest tax increases in decades.

    Like

  147. “Nope, prices went down.”

    -Gas definitely did. Which then reduced costs for transportation of goods.

    Not sure why jason is arguing about what already happened back in those 3+ years with Trump before covid.

    Wages were also going up, for the lowest paid workers.

    Like

  148. You never protested Trump saying deficits don’t matter because we can just print more money.”

    Of course not.

    The “problem” is McConnell….

    Like

  149. Gas definitely did. Which then reduced costs for transportation of goods.”

    Wait, Trump imposed tariffs on gas?

    No, gas prices went down because domestic production went up.

    Liked by 1 person

  150. “But you supported Trump signing massive spending bills without comment.”

    -Not true. He should have vetoed a lot of those bloated budgets passed with Republican help……but then you guys would complain about potential shutdowns of government if bills got vetoed……both of you are all in favor of the Potomac 2 step.

    Like

  151. I won’t be here.

    Maybe NYC and TIna can continue their trip into lalaland, where economic laws don’t exist because Trump did away with them.

    Talk about a cult.

    Like

  152. “No, gas prices went down because domestic production went up.”

    -Exactly, just like Tina said, prices went down, for gas and transportation costs.

    Thank you. We agree

    Liked by 1 person

  153. “Talk about a cult.”

    -Says the guy who will stay home and potentially allow Harris/Walz to win the White House…..

    Like

  154. but then you guys would complain about potential shutdowns of government”

    Ah yes, maybe Rs should shut the government down for some grandstanding, and lose the House, Senate and the Presidency.

    SEND A MESSAGE!

    Like

  155. Prices did not rise with the tariffs. They fell.

    Like

  156. Where did the “largest tax increase in decades” comment come from?

    Like

  157. Exactly, just like Tina said, prices went down, for gas and transportation costs.

    Thank you. We agree”

    LOL

    There were no tariffs on gas, you are an idiot.

    Like

  158. Inflation fell to 1.7, after the tariffs. And remained low.

    thank you.

    Like

  159. Trump isn’t a conservative because he signed bloated bills…….and he better not veto them and shut down the government or else we lose everything…..Let’s do The Potomac 2 step!

    Like

  160. I said import export prices dropped after the tariffs.

    they went from 3.3% in 2018 to -2.0 percent in august of 2019.

    thus, tariffs did not increase prices as maintained by the tax raiser

    Like

  161. That particular article came from here. Note that the article is also critical of Biden for not revoking the tariffs (because he also believes in the AFL-CIO failed agenda)

    But I can show you dozens showing tariffs are just another tax increase.

    And of course we have known this for a 100 years.

    https://taxfoundation.org/research/all/federal/trump-tariffs-biden-tariffs/

    Like

  162. Prices dropped and inflation and food prices were at historical lows, about 15 months after tariff implementation. Import export chart confirms this.

    Like

  163. “There were no tariffs on gas, you are an idiot.”

    -Never said there were tariffs on gas.

    Tina said prices went down. They did.

    You are the one who keeps yapping about tariffs despite the economy from 2017-Feb 2020 showing no ill effects from tariffs imposed by our government, and consumers who enjoyed the Trump economy….but keep yapping about increased prices….

    Like

  164. thus, tariffs did not increase prices as maintained by the tax raiser”

    Sure they did. You are an idiot talking about items that didn’t have tariffs like gas.

    When you increase taxes, and you make goods more expensive, which was absolutely th result of Trump’s stupid tariffs and trade wars, you hurt the people less likely to be able to afford the increases.

    Like

  165. “And of course we have known this for a 100 years.”

    -Founding Fathers and Reagan must have realized that politics is not a religion, and sometimes tariffs are useful. I’ll go with their lessons, and the economy we saw from 2017-Feb 2020 that you keep ignoring for some reason.

    Like

  166. Tina said prices went down. They did.”

    The facts:

    The Trump administration imposed nearly $80 billion worth of new taxes on Americans by levying tariffs on thousands of products valued at approximately $380 billion in 2018 and 2019, amounting to one of the largest tax increases in decades.

    Like

    Like

  167. Nope, they didn’t. You are wrong again tax raiser. I gave you the chart, cited the inflation at the time.

    trumps tariffs did not cause prices to rise.

    next.

    Like

  168. Ok, he just keeps yapping, and ignoring the real World we lived through in Trump’s first term.

    On to the next issue.

    Like

  169. and sometimes tariffs are useful.”

    Actually, no, they are never useful.

    Reagan imposed (wrongly) some very limited tariffs. I would have opposed them too.

    But still, nothing as compared to Trump’s entire trade policy based on tariffs and trade wars against ALL our trading partners, not just China.

    Like

  170. Is he still yapping?

    Dang those Energizer batteries!

    Like

  171. The tax increaser is wrong again.

    Like

  172. trumps tariffs did not cause prices to rise.”

    That is, of course, a lie.

    It made goods more expensive AND the tax increase made them less affordable for everyone (well, not spoiled elitists like Tina).

    Like

  173. Her Thighness is acting more and more like Pooty poot and the grifter. Any dissent get thrown in jail. I bet at least one free passer likes Hillary.

    Like

  174. “A worldwide 10 percent tariff and a 60 percent tariff on Chinese goods proposed by Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump would lower average after-tax incomes of US households in 2025 by about $1,800, or 1.8 percent, according to a new analysis by the Tax Policy Center. They’d reduce imports into the US by about $5.5 trillion, or 15 percent, from 2025–2034.”

    Like

  175. Bs prices fell and I gave you the chart to confirm. You are wrong.

    Like

  176. jason keeps arguing against Trump’s economic results from his previous time in office…..makes more sense that he will take his ball and go home this year……..but but but he is a conservative, like Mitch who wants to talk about a tax increase.

    Like

  177. The tax increaser is citing drat articles btw that mention future tariffs (2025).

    Like

  178. The tax raiser has not proven that prices rose from the 2017/2018 tariffs.

    Like

  179. I bet at least one free passer likes Hillary. Actually, I made that up.

    Fixed it for Tina.

    Like

  180. They’d reduce imports into the US by about $5.5 trillion, or 15 percent, from 2025–2034.”

    And of course, reduce the employment of all of those involved in the transportation, sales, marketing, promotion, etc. of such products. The stores used to sell them, the advertising, the whole supply chain. It would reduce the tax base and reduce wealth.

    There is no getting around the laws of economics.

    Tariffs are a TAX.

    Like

  181. like Mitch who wants to talk about a tax increase.”

    Ah yes, another dishonest post that fails to mention it is for the Pentagon.

    Like

  182. jason looks at 1 input, a tariff. Doesn’t look at increased energy production which lowers gas prices, which lowers transportation costs, which lowers rates for containers being imported, etc etc etc

    On to the next thing – TrueBeliever will never take another look at it, so not worth arguing over it.

    I’ll let the results from 2017-Feb 2020 speak for themselves.

    Like

  183. Import export prices declined from 2018 to 2019. Thus, tariffs did not increase prices.

    inflation was also at a historical low.

    Without citing drat talking points , try again.

    Like

  184. he tax raiser has not proven that prices rose “

    That is like saying I haven’t proven rain is made of water.

    Tariffs cause an increase in prices.

    To deny that is to try to invent a new economic principle.

    I doubt Tina is qualified for that.

    Like

  185. oesn’t look at increased energy production which lowers gas prices, which lowers transportation costs,”

    Because it is a complete non-sequitur, there was no tariff on gas.

    But you know that.

    Like

  186. The free passer is a mess. Citing drat articles about 2025 tariffs (tariffs not enacted, then worried about price increases, and then wanting Biden’s Beotch tax increases.

    Like

  187. I’ll let the results from 2017-Feb 2020 speak for themselves.”

    Ok, we can move on.

    The results have spoken.

    The Trump administration imposed nearly $80 billion worth of new taxes on Americans by levying tariffs on thousands of products valued at approximately $380 billion in 2018 and 2019, amounting to one of the largest tax increases in decades.

    Like

  188. A tariff is a tax but I want mitchies tsc increases.

    -free passer

    Like

  189. https://x.com/BenTelAviv/status/1836094065970233684

    -More benefits from the Israeli pager surprise

    Like

  190. Still no prior of that trumps tariffs caused prices to increase.

    Like

  191. Citing drat articles about 2025 tariffs”

    You are confused.

    There were two articles I quoted.

    One for the previous tariffs, one for the new ones.

    Both mean (meant) a tax increase AND a price increase.

    Like

  192. but I want mitchies tsc increases.”

    I thought you said the military was “depleted”.

    Shouldn’t that be corrected?

    Like

  193. The Trump administration imposed nearly $80 billion worth of new taxes on Americans by levying tariffs on thousands of products valued at approximately $380 billion in 2018 and 2019, amounting to one of the largest tax increases in decades.

    -Which was responsible for a roaring economy…….!?!?!?

    LOL!

    Like

  194. The import export price chart is embedde in the Cth article.

    Import export prices plunged post tariff

    inflation dropped.

    Like

  195. You are confused, there were no price increases with trumps tariffs.

    you want Biden’s beotchs tax increases.

    Like

  196. This is way too easy here.

    Like

  197. “Because it is a complete non-sequitur, there was no tariff on gas.”

    -There wasn’t. Nobody said there was.

    If a product cost goes up, but other inputs to the final cost of an item go down, then the final cost may be lower than before, which is what happened in many cases back from 2017-202, which is why the economy was so good…….

    Can you acknowledge that consumers, aka voters, liked the Trump economy during his time in office?

    That is the only question that matters.

    Like

  198. Food,inflation was 0.5 in 2019.

    Vs 28% 3.5 years later.

    but the chia pet will tell us that inflation is going down.

    (chia pet = press secretary in case Bl,wakes up)

    Like

  199. https://uk.news.yahoo.com/kamala-harris-suggests-she-open-215543077.html

    -jason will keep arguing about tariffs while Kamala pushes reparations.

    Like

  200. You would have seen import export prices rise (and inflation) if trumps tariffs caused prices to rise. The chart confirms the opposite.

    Like

  201. Night gang.

    Like