Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
| GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
53 responses to “Night shift”
I am the exalted leader.
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Worth watching…
https://x.com/jeremykauffman/status/1835782658091102608?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1835791792303968386%7Ctwgr%5E00d882da8c2bb7253bd633249a43c916edd30365%7Ctwcon%5Es3_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fredstate.com%2Fbobhoge%2F2024%2F09%2F16%2Fepic-entrepreneur-humiliates-fbi-when-they-come-to-intimidate-him-can-see-the-shame-on-their-faces-n2179406
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Babylon Bee
“Democrats Accuse Trump Of Inciting Further Violence By Not Dying”
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Went and saw the movie “Reagan” tonight. I give it a 3. 5 stars. Dennis Quaid did a nice job portraying Reagan.
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I will post so Jason will not be alone. No A-hole is an island.
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What the heck Bitter ???
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David Chapman on X
General Election – Pennsylvania
🟦 Harris 49% (+3)
🟥 Trump 46%
Suffolk U./USA Today
This polls final 2016 poll was Clinton +9.
2020 final was Biden +7.
Harris is actually running way behind the last 2 Dem. Nominees.
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I get what Chapman is saying about Kamala running behind 2016 & 2020, but it sure would be nice to see Trump ahead in some of these polls.
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That was an interesting PA polling analysis DW.
There is a lot of anecdotal evidence that PA is more like 2016 than 2020.
Let’s see if it pans out.
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I may be mistake but I believe I just saw on Hannity on a new Pennsylvania poll from Insider Advantage that was just released moments ago that had Trump 50% and Harris 48% with 800 likely voters…can’t find it posted yet.
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btw that same poll only had McCormack down 4%…
Pennsylvania Senate USA Today/Suffolk Casey 47, McCormick 43
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will post new PA thread in the morning
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The last Insider Advantage poll I see is Trump leading in Michigan
Insider Advantage 800LV Michigan Sept 11-12 Trump 49% Harris 48%
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Trump up in PA and Up in GA
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Trump up 1% in PA
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Post
See new postsConversation
David D. Chapman
@davidchapman141
NEW: Trafalgar/Insider Advantage has released two polls on their podcast Pennsylvania Trump 49% (+1) Harris 48% Georgia Trump 46.3% (+1.5) Harris 44.8%
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trump,takes the lead in ga and pa based on Trafalgar /ia poles.
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ok, sorry, others got it, incl vic. I cannot take credit.
I was going to demand a guest blog post. But Bl hates me even though we scull have the cream soda truce.
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still have*
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Chapman
In their PA poll, Suffolk University asked Who they planned to vote for before the debate. Harris 51% (+9) Trump 42% Their topline is Harris +3. Apparently, the debate caused a 6 pt swing towards Trump in PA.
Posted on X · 45 mins ago
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Thanks scooter for re introducing me to David Chapmans Twitter.
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The Reckoning
@sethjlevy
So the PA outlier is still a PA outlier? I’m shocked!
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1,459 Views
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That sufferfolk poll number suggests that Quemala bled badly in the debate. Apparently, Chapman also notes that she is running ads in nh.
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Bitter, prove your point by coming up with yacht posts. You’re delusional just to indulge in your own chosen narrative.
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You admitted you were gullible on the yacht story. I am taking you at your word.
Do you still think Jewish Zelensky is working with Ukrainian Nazis?
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re: debate. It is apparent that quemala lost undecided. Her facial expression and non specifics damaged her. With the 3 on 1, the apparent assists from the moderators, and her facials, she loses. If it is proven that she cheated, then she is Dq.
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Tina, Bitter does not hate you. No one here does. You’re part of the family.
You really get him with the free pass posts though
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Tina – I don’t hate you. I respect you with hostility.
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From what I read here earlier it is claimed the “National Guard” in Ukraine has Narzi (thats a funny accent from a comedian…for years I thought I was fighting the narzis)
The National Guard is not a big unit in Ukraine. For years they were involved with more local issues, assisting police etc and fell under the border patrol, which is a large and very important part of the “military regime” in Ukraine.
The National Guard is falsely associated with the Azov group because they both fought in the battle of Mariupol. It was generally the first big battle National Guard soldiers had to fight in, so unfortunately, those who want to try to paint the Ukrainians as Narzis use this very loose association based on a battle fought.
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Bitterlaw, Jason,
Schumer is Jewish. When confronted with Obama’s Iran deal back in 2015 or 2016, he voted against it, BUT could have stopped it cold in its tracks.
Then, after Trump came in, got rid of the Iran deal, had peace breaking out in the Middle East, behind the scenes, Schumer fought him every step of the way.
Then, after Biden/Harris got “elected”, and reinstituted the Iran deal, stopped all of the sanctions, and Iran has billions of $$ to bankroll Hezbollah, Hamas, the Houthis etc etc etc, Schumer has supported Biden/Harris the whole time.
Also, hasn’t come out forcefully against the university protests. Of course, he has said some polite words about, but nothing like the power that he has at his disposal.
Is it fair to say that Schumer, a Jew, works with Nazi-like people, considering that Iran has the same goal as Hitler did?*
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Vic I know.
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“You really get him with the free pass posts though”
-They are usually very funny, and then are made funnier because a grown man is set off by them!
Come on, Bitterlaw, laugh!
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They are stupid. I stand by it.
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David D. Chapman
@davidchapman141
General Election – Pennsylvania
🟥 Trump 50% (+2)
🟦 Harris 48%
Insider Advantage 800LV 9/14-9/15
Solid lead for Trump in PA. Last poll was Trump +1. Trump gained a point post debate.
8:08 PM · Sep 16, 2024
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2,111
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Say what you want. Do you have a point?
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My friend who came to the US when he was 12 as a Jewish refugee from the USSR describes Schumer as a self-hating Jew and no better than a Kapo in a death camp. He is also a Trump fan but supports military aid to Ukraine.
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“Say what you want. Do you have a point?”
-Was this question for me? If Yes, I asked you and jason a question after writing a couple of statements about Chuck Schumer.
I wrote what I wanted to, and then added a question at the end, and I am waiting for a response from either of you.
Cheers.
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Trump will continue aid to Ukraine. He will not stop it. My guess is he will Putin that he will double it unless a peace agreement is reached…and the war will end
if Kinrade Kamala gets elected it will drag on for quite some time
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”If Trump wins GA & PA…he will be the 47th President of the United States.”
I like the affirmative sound of that statement!
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I worry about Ga. Rattburger and hee haw have fixed nothing. They are both dumb.
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“Trump will continue aid to Ukraine. He will not stop it. My guess is he will Putin that he will double it unless a peace agreement is reached…and the war will end”
-That makes sense.
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The peace deal will look a lot like the one that demented and the Pm Blob Boris told the grifter to reject. Mark my words.
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https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2024/09/16/reuters-ipsos-poll-majority-voters-favor-trumps-plan-higher-tariffs/
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pretty evident that quemala did not win the debate.
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thats not what abccbsnbcyahoomsnbcreutersnprnytimeswapost tell us
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The problem when people draw hope from polls when they compare polls from 2016, 2022 and 2024 is that making such comparisons assumes that each poll uses the same methodology they used the previous elections.
That is not the same thing as making predictions based on actual elections from prior years when it is done on a state by state basis and analyzes changes in state laws, what the parties are doing to GOTV and what their messaging is when it comes to turning the vote out.
We lost at least one, if not both of the US Senate races Georgia in 2020 because too many GOP-supporting idiots kept announcing the election was stolen, including Trump. It depressed the GOP turnout in GA. Although all of the Trump went to GA the night before the runoff to try to get the vote out, but they and their mouthpieces had already poisoned the well..Hope-porn is useless.
The election is close. What matters is who turns out.
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Trump +6 again in Ras daily tracker.
Sept 10: 51-46 (Trump +5)
Sept 11: 48-48 (Even)
Sept12: (50-44) Trump +6
Sept15: (50-44) Harris +6
Sept16: 52-46 (Trump +6)
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Ras Trump +6…….Morning Consult Harris +6.
Someone is going to miss badly.
Morning Consult poll (C+), Sep 13-15
🟦 Kamala Harris 51%
🟥 Donald Trump 45%
This is the largest lead by any candidate in this poll in the entirety of 2024
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morning consult is msnbc just for reference
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