According to a new poll by SoCal Strategies taken Aug. 23 against 713 LVs:
 | PENNSYLVANIA |
| Trump | 48 |
| Harris | 47 |
| U.S. Senate: | |
| McCormick | 41 |
| Casey | 47 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
81 responses to “Trump up 1 in Pennsylvania”
First!
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blast. The streak ends at one
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Good news this is post-DNC convention. I don’t see a bounce yet, except for the fake push poll from the Hill that showed Harris +7. In that poll, Trump was +1 nationally until they pushed gender and race issues in follow-up questions.
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Quemala has been trailing in pa for several poles now?
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DW you should repost that post about how they manipulated the poll from the previous thread. It was very insightful
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India’s PM visits Kyiv. Important as India has been selling equipment to the Russians.
Putin now says “India no longer a trusted ally”
Putin lapdogs Janzam and Tina hardest hit.
https://x.com/officejjsmart/status/1826918292503560414?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1826921951358570600%7Ctwgr%5Ec5c34f867169975da2b292f19a59e551bc7df082%7Ctwcon%5Es3_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fcms.redstate.com%2Fposts%2F2178415%3FtitlecategoryIdsubscriptiondatePublishedincludeBody%3Dtruestatus%3D-1authorId%3D783postIdrouteIdpageIndex%3D0pageSize%3D30postTypeId%3D1total%3D8832
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Jason. The irony is that a lot of the Indian military equipment going to Inraine is old Soviet era surplus, or Russian made equipment. Same with materials coming out of Africa!!
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National Review has an article on how Axios and Politico are basically spokespeople for the DNC:
“Something weird is happening at Politico and Axios.
In a market positively saturated with fawning and propagandistic coverage of the Harris campaign, two Virginia-based newsrooms stand out for their commitment to that mission.
For example, a brief review of Politico’s social-media feeds during the Democratic National Convention revealed a profoundly unserious and ideologically tilted newsroom, one whose copy contained all the unbridled glee and excitement of a teen fan magazine.
“In Tim Walz, Black women see the ‘right white man’ for VP,” read one headline.
Another read, “Mindy Kaling is proud to be Kamala Harris’s cooking partner.”
And yet another: “Hakeem Jeffries managed to merge a Trump diss and a Taylor Swift lyric on the DNC stage.”
“Watch out, Trump: Walz shows he’s not just Minnesota nice,” warned one Politico headline.
And another: “Democrats brought the Project 2025 book — and zingers — back.”
“Rep. Grace Meng issues a warning on Trump: ‘He will not stop at banning abortion,’” declared yet another.
Contrast this to the RNC headlines:
“A parade of Trump’s former GOP rivals bend the knee,” read one headline.
“The RNC’s closing argument: Trump, Trump Trump.”
“RNC has one message: MAGA, MAGA, MAGA.”
“At one time,” read a separate news blurb, “J.D. Vance’s lack of governing experience would have been disqualifying for a VP nomination. In 2024, Republicans saw it as a badge of honor. How J.D. Vance’s shocking inexperience turned into an asset.”
“GOP speakers are going after Kamala Harris,” read one headline from Politico’s coverage of the Republican National Committee.
Another read, “Nikki Haley tried to bring unity to the RNC. Some people booed.”
Meanwhile, reporter Emily Peck at Axios defended Kamala Harris’s price-control proposal last week.
“Don’t call it price controls: How price gouging bans really work,” read the news blurb.
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Vic, here it is again. And everything in the quotes was actually FDU admitting what they were doing. From the last thread:
That FDU poll showing Harris up 7 nationally over Trump? It turns out it was a PUSH poll. The actual Poll had Trump leading by 1 point:
“To examine the effect of race and gender on vote choice, an experiment was embedded in the survey.
In the survey, before being asked who they were supporting in the Presidential race, respondents were given a list of five issues, and asked which ones were important to their vote. The issues included Tax Policy, Immigration Policy, Climate Change, Abortion and Foreign Policy. But not all respondents got the same list. In addition to randomizing the order of the issues, one-third of respondents were given “The Race or Ethnicity of the Candidate” as the last issue before the vote choice question, and one-third were given “Whether the Candidate is a Man or a Woman” as their last issue. The remaining one-third got all five of the issues, in no particular order.
This survey experiment means that we can compare the voters who were primed to think about race or sex with those who were not, and because the assignment to these conditions is done at random, we can be confident that any differences between the groups are a result of the priming, and not other factors. The effects are enormous.
Among voters who were not primed to think about the race or sex of the candidates, Harris and Trump are tied (47 to 48)”
Funny how when its a leftist pollster and the GOP candidate leads by 1 point, they call it a tie.
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So Fairleigh Dickenson University found Trump leading nationally by 1, but they also found that if on election day, there could be a dem operative to guide each voter who steps into the booth reminding each voter of specific talking points, they can get Harris up by 7.
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Maybe each voting booth will have a picture of a candidate.
Kamala, dressed in golden flowing robes, will be on a white horse, have a halo around her head, and surrounding her will be hordes of people in venerating poses. The background will be rainbows.
Trump, dressed in prison garb, will have red horns coming out of his head, and will be holding a spear with a dead bloody puppy recently impaled. The background will be storm clouds and lightning.
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But Jan told us that the U.S. military aid to Ukraine was pushing India closer to Russia.
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Dw please tell us that this is just creative writing. That pole is junk.
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But Jan told us that the U.S. military aid to Ukraine was pushing India closer to Russia.”
Well, Jan doesn’t really think for herself.
It must have been what Gateway Pundit or Russian State News said.
So give her a break, not her fault.
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Andrew Vindman really is an absolute biased piece of sh*t. What a disgrace to the uniform.
he’s lauding the arrest of the telegram founder and tells Musk he’ll be next because he won’t toe the democrat line and carry their baggage by censoring speech they don’t agree with, or questioning their propaganda
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Looks like Bragg may have blinked on the September 18th sentencing on Trump. He just sent a letter to the hack judge advising him that it might be prudent in postponing the Trump sentencing until AFTER the November election. Yeah, he does so acknowledging that the recent Supreme Court’s rulings may have made some of the evidence in the Manhattan trial questionable.
Don’t think he and the hack judge give a hoot about what the Supreme Court rulings. This just means that Democrats have polling showing sentencing Trump to jail will backfire at the polls – something I have always maintained would be the case.
If you are keeping score, this means the Democrats have gone 0 for 4 on their lawfare attempts.
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Yeah roughly half of fat Alvin’s witnesses referenced what was said or done in the White House.
I wonder if the judge needs more $$$ (kickback) from the daughter?
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Breaking
Tulsi Gabbard to announce support for trump at a Michigan event.
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Whoops! This one doesn’t match the narrative. Harris, the California Marxist should be running up the score in California, right?
Capitol Weekly, 7/25-7/27:
🟦 Harris: 59%
🟥 Trump: 35%
Capitol Weekly, 8/13-8/15:
🟦 Harris: 57% (-2)
🟥 Trump: 37% (+2)
Biden won CA by more than 29 points in 2020.
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Greg Price
@greg_price11
It’s the 3rd anniversary of 13 American service members dying during the withdrawal from Afghanistan. Biden is currently at the beach. Kamala has nothing on her schedule. President Trump is at Arlington Cemetery laying a wreath for all 13 of them.
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and the media will ignore completely the death of all 13 of our valued military and the disastrous bumbled withdrawal which was the direct result of Harris/Biden admin’s hubris and lack of caring for our military and this country
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Vic, I was in error when I mistakingly said you called me a liar. It was Bitter. So, pls accept my apologies.
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Its all good Jan.
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i called you a liar too.
Don’t I get credit.
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RFK Jr said more Dems will be endorsing Trump
Tulsi is an ex-Dem but as a former candidate for President who destroyed Kamala in a debate her support is welcome.
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Hey Vic, maybe you can be polite and say Janzam just never tells the truth.
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Good news: Trump has led in 4 out of the last 5 polls of Pennsylvania
Bad news: His lead has been 1 in each of these 4 polls.
Good news: the one poll he trailed was only by 1 point.
Bad news: that one poll was Rasmussen with a huge 1,300+ sample.
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https://x.com/TrumpWarRoom/status/1828070280260112688?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1828070280260112688%7Ctwgr%5Ea9f0a693489196e2ed4c681dd054a38b8b1bfb21%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thegatewaypundit.com%2F2024%2F08%2Fsocial-media-users-destroy-kamala-harris-who-laughed%2F
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Looks like the abc debate may not happen.
Quemala wants to be seated; have a cheat sheet; and wants the mikes to be hot.
The debate moderator also compared trump to the kkk.
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CNN is really a joke.
I was looking for Fox Business to see how the DOW was doing and stopped at CNN because they were talking about Trump’s visit to Arlington to honor the 13 dead.
But it was actually a “question” to a Dem congressman “should Trump be doing this sort of thing to divide us” and of course the Dem said “no, this is disgusting….
Then they had a a “guest” who was asked the question “If Trump continues to go downhill in the polls, are R candidates going to disavow or even oppose him” and of course the “guest” said “Oh yes, you will see a lot of Rs abandon Trump”.
Then the question was “Kamala stellar fundraising, is that going to make a difference”….”oh yes, it is mostly from small donors, Kamala will flood the airwaves with ads and have a big advantage”
So all the questions were loaded so they could get the expected answer. Pravda would be proud.
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@jaketapper
Latest in the “blue wall” states: In MI and WI, Harris is maybe up a point or two, PA she may be down a couple points, the sources I spoke to said. She’s doing better than Biden was — tho in PA she has lost ground with white men”
“Sources”
Sounds like he is worried.
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When CNN says a race is “tied”, you can bet Trump is winning.
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“May be up….”
sounds like flapper got a woody from talking to a “source.”
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I’ll take up in PA and down slightly in MI and WI since along with GA and NC, that’s game over.
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I drove by two roadside stands yesterday selling Trump hats and flags and signs. Seemed to be doing a good business.
The vibes are similar to 2016. Lots of Trump signs in the small towns/rural areas, very few Trump or Harris signs in the suburbs.
I saw my first Kennedy/Shanahan lawn sign, it was a big one. Now moot, but from the location I would guess Trump will get the votes.
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Remember that Trump actually won PA in 2016 by more votes than he did MI or WI.
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I don’t trust hee haw, or the ga ag, and definitely don’t trust rattburger:
George
@BehizyTweets
BREAKING: Georgia Governor Brian Kemp is now asking the Attorney General whether he has the authority to REMOVE the three brave members of the State Election Board who have been implementing massive election integrity reforms Democrat state legislators sent a letter to Kemp asking him to remove the members for “ethics violations,” and Kemp’s office is now asking the AG whether the Governor has the authority to do so “This office has received Senator Nabilah Islam Parkes and other’s letters alleging ethics violations by members of the State Elections Board. Due to uncertainty regarding whether this office has authority to act under Code Section 45-10-4 in response to these complaints, we have sought the Attorney General’s advice regarding the application of the statute to the letters. We will respond following receipt of this advice and further evaluation of the letters.” Obviously, the ethics complaints are complete GARBAGE. They just want to eliminate Members Janelle King, Janice Johnston, and Rick Jeffries because they are bravely securing the 2024 election. There’s no way the governor has the authority to remove them because he did not appoint all of them. He got to appoint one person, the state house and senate picked two, and the two major political parties picked the last two. The governor may be able to fire his own appointee but he didn’t appoint any of the three brave members In conclusion, Democrats are in panic because Trump will win Georgia due to the election integrity reforms of the Board, and now they are trying every dirty tactic to stop the changes from being implemented. H/T:
@KylieJaneKremer
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Yep. Hold NC, flip GA + PA = 270
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Zzzzzz…..
“Nate Silver’s model updated to 24% chance of Kamala winning Florida.
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National poll by @EchelonInsights
🟥 Trump: 49%
🟦 Harris: 48%
Full field
🟥 Trump: 48%
🟦 Harris: 48%
🟩 Stein: 1%
🟪 Oliver: 1%
🟨 West: 1%
—
Generic Ballot
🟦 DEM: 48%
🟥 GOP: 48%
— 22 (2.7/3.0) | 8/23-25 | 1,031 LV | ±3.6%
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This is funny.
https://x.com/intent/follow?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1828121013718331505%7Ctwgr%5Eca30000e8bcad36da4dcb8e56bfd24a705460acc%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Ftheconservativetreehouse.com%2Fblog%2F2024%2F08%2F26%2Faugust-26th-2024-presidential-politics-resistance-day-1316%2F&screen_name=ChuckCallesto
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wait, I thought quemala had this “lead.”
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https://x.com/ChuckCallesto/status/1828121013718331505?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1828121013718331505%7Ctwgr%5E2dbfdab75158c4dd2e55fff6cbe387806f3c0aba%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Ftheconservativetreehouse.com%2Fblog%2F2024%2F08%2F26%2Faugust-26th-2024-presidential-politics-resistance-day-1316%2F
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State owned grocery stores…. worked so well in the USSR…
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So only 29% of independents trust the news media, and yet they somehow are all flocking to Harris according to the media and university pollsters.
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Notice also how the real slippage only started during the Reagan years. The media HATED Reagan and everything he stood for. They only spoke well of him years later at his funeral.
So the 11% of Republicans who still trust the media must be those who are still waiting for people to clap for Jeb Bush, and the 10 people who post at Red Racing Horses.
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https://x.com/BehizyTweets/status/1828128060052529449?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1828128060052529449%7Ctwgr%5Ef59a3bd70a06e3bd588202ada3ba7b4d5fb1bd87%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Ftheconservativetreehouse.com%2Fblog%2F2024%2F08%2F26%2Faugust-26th-2024-presidential-politics-resistance-day-1316%2F
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Chief Nerd
@TheChiefNerd
Bret Weinstein Reacts to RFK Jr & Trump Joining Forces: ‘This is Absolutely Monumental’ “This was not a simple endorsement of Trump. This was an endorsement of retaking the White House and using that position to restore the Republic to its proper course…I think the modern Democratic Party is an existential threat to the republic. And although I am a Democrat, I’ve been a Democrat my whole life. The party that I see in front of me today is literally the inverse of the party I signed up for…There is no conceivable scenario in which I would vote for Kamala Harris
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Tulsi just endorsed trump in Michigan. She was on the flight watch list by demented/quemala.
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@amuse
@amuse
OMG! Kamala Harris is bringing her emotional support running mate to her one and only press interview?!? Will she get the questions in advance or will she provide them?
·
15.1K Views
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Funny how any one who doesnt support our entanglement in foreign wars is always a liar, wrong, nutjob on this site.
I strongly support Israel and think we should help them finish the job. I dont support our involvement in the Russia/Ukraine situation because I dont understand what America’s stake in it is except for vague references to defending Democracy overseas or whatever. Lets fix our own country first.
I say this because I know who you folks are and it has been this way for years. If you dont support every neo-con war, you will be attacked. I just dont engage in the back and forth over it.
However, the RFK Jr. and Tulsi endorsements are HUGE for Trump. They will likely be the very small difference we need in the swing states to allow us to win the electoral votes necessary to put Trump back in the White House.
And ALL people who claim to love this country should be elated if that happens.
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Trump War Room
@TrumpWarRoom
·
BREAKING: Former Democrat Rep.
@TulsiGabbard
just endorsed President Trump, citing the fact that he will keep America out of endless wars: “I am committed to doing all that I can to send President Trump back to the White House.”
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HUGE blow to the feeble efforts of Harris to put Texas into play:
Abbott purged 1.1 MILLION from voter list.
https://gov.texas.gov/news/post/governor-abbott-announces-over-1-million-ineligible-voters-removed-from-voter-rolls
457,000 dead
6.500 foreigners
6,000 felons
134,000 moved out of state
19,000 requested cancellation
463,000 ‘suspend list’ voters
65,000 non-responses
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https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/1828121564442947853?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1828121564442947853%7Ctwgr%5E1f5633b6d8a27cb7687b50d458dfb0926ab9eb04%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Ftheconservativetreehouse.com%2Fblog%2F2024%2F08%2F26%2Faugust-26th-2024-presidential-politics-resistance-day-1316%2F
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https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/08/lifelong-democrat-bret-weinstein-now-considers-voting-trump/
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Team Trump
@TeamTrump·
President Trump talks about the idiocy of other administrations broadcasting our weaknesses to our enemies: “You don’t want to tell your enemy you have no ammunition… If you feel like you’re a little weak, you gotta strengthen it up, but you don’t do reports that we’re going to lose to China in a war. STUPID people do that — like the people that are in office right now.”
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Quemala and her “Emotional Support Governor.”
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Robert Barnes predicts Trump narrowly wins NH and ME, and he wins PA by 5, and NC by 9, while Harris holds on to VA by 2
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is that his segment with Baris.
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Kamala wants to change the upcoming debate rules already decided on. 1) does not want mics muted (as she wishes for DJT to be disruptive); 2) wants a sit-down debate rather than standing by a podium; 3) wants “cheat sheets.” (probably because she can’t remember all the dem talking points).
I hope Trump agrees to none of this.
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DW:
Thanks, always, for your posts. Best part of both HHR I and HH II for sure.
How did Barnes do in 2022? I dont follow him but I do Baris and Baris was off like all the others were. I am wondering how Barnes did.
Thanks!
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Morning Consult was Harris +4 before the DNC, and their new poll taken entirely after the DNC is exactly same results.
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Tina, Yes
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Barnes bets on these races, so he does put up his money to back up his predictions.
Not sure how he did in 2022.
In his comments, his reasoning was sound in PA. Harris will hold up well with Philly suburbanite women, but she will not do anywhere close to as well in most other parts of the state. RFK endorsing Trump will be significant in PA, more so than in other battleground states.
Barnes was adamant that she cannot draw within the margin of error or margin of fraud in PA.
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Re Maine:
Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump
A Guest Essay in the New York Times about the wonderful Lobstermen of Maine, and the Election. Thank you to historian Scott Ellsworth. A lobsterman, “… he’ll cast his vote for Trump. I like Trump’s decisions on stuff he did. The price of gas, groceries, and housing is perhaps the most important factor in determining their vote, not abortion, not Gaza, not the war in Ukraine. …Trump will do a better job with the Economy – the Democrats will pay a price at the polls, perhaps a dear one.” Remember when I opened up the large section of Ocean, off the beautiful Maine Coast, that Obama/Biden closed to Lobstermen etc., then Biden/Harris ridiculously closed it again — GET READY FOR IT TO BE OPENED!!!
4.25k
ReTruths
16.5k
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The WI SC has declined to hear a challenge to Jill Stein appearing on the WI ballot, so she’s good to go.
https://apnews.com/article/jill-stein-wisconsin-president-ballot-2024-e8cb52080dc7ba32997642e962dc0b06
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A judge has ruled Kennedy, Stein, West, and the Socialist and Liberation Party candidate should be kept off the Georgia ballot, though the decision is subject to review by SoS Raffensperger.
https://www.wabe.org/judge-says-4-independent-and-third-party-candidates-should-be-kept-off-georgia-presidential-ballots/
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Most states are going to end up being 3 points or less for third party and independent candidates. Some might not get even 2 points.
But given the razor close results possible in some states, this is still an issue, even though RFK dropped out.
Here are the also-rans per state:
AZ: Stein, Oliver
GA: Oliver
ME: Stein, West, Oliver
MI: Terry, Stein, West, Oliver
MN: Stein, West, Oliver, Cruz
NH: Terry, Stein, West, Oliver, Cruz
NM: Stein, Oliver, Cruz
NC: Terry, Stein, West, Oliver
PA: Stein, Oliver
VA: Stein, Oliver, Cruz
WI: Terry, Stein, West, Oliver, Cruz
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PredictIT unchanged today.
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campaigning in. Va?
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/08/we-need-you-next-four-years-president-trump/
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New Thread at 8:30.
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The MSM is of course running with the 7 pt Kamala lead.
Pravda would be proud.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4846433-harris-leading-trump-by-7-points-poll/
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7 point lead if every voter on election day is guided on what to think by a Dem operative. Without that it was Trump plus 1
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Has this been posted…. good news…
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Stein got 31000 votes in 2016. Did not make the ballot in 2020. Trump won by 11,000 votes in 2016, lost by 20,000 in 2020. You do the math.
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Sorry, it was 23,000 in WI, 11,000 in MI.
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ironically 31k voted their hearts in WI in 2016 because they believed the lies of the media and the media polls that said WI was not in play
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Nick Sortor
@nicksortor
NEW: The families of the 13 soldiers k*lled in Kabul did NOT invite Biden or Harris to the ceremony at Arlington They only invited President Trump. That should tell you ALL you need to know. Biden and Harris have been IGNORING and DISRESPECTING these families for years now,…
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Rappers for Trump. Just an interesting nugget about what’s happening on the ground in Michigan:
https://x.com/dom_lucre/status/1828163411643191415?t=eMq1ipYFOI_CTOh-9WqbWQ&s=19
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