According to new polling from Rasmussen Reports, taken 8/13-8/17, against over 1000 likely voters per state.
Ohio: Trump 50, Harris 42, Kennedy 4, Stein 0, West 1
Brown 47, Moreno 42
Pennsylvania: Harris 46, Trump 45, Kennedy 5, Stein 1, West 0
Casey 46, McCormick 43
Arizona: Harris 44, Trump 45, Kennedy 7, West 1, Stein 0
Gallego 48, Lake 40
Michigan: Harris 47, Trump 44, Kennedy 4, Stein 1, West 1
Slotkin 45, Rogers 43
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
51 responses to “Trump up in OH, has edge in AZ, tied in PA, and down in MI”
Head to head numbers:
AZ Trump 47, Harris 45
MI Harris 48, Trump 47
PA Trump 47, Harris 46
OH Trump 51, Harris 44
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I wish there was a sugar coating to these polls, but there isn’t. Trump has work to do.
Still it’s odd that Harris has only gained nationally and in the battleground states
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As long as she stays hidden, just like 2020, it will be harder. I still find it amazing that a candidate who would have lost had they an open primary this year, and who couldn’t even get 5% in the primary in 2020, and who was at a 28% approval rating 45 days ago…is suddenly this strong in a Presidential race…running ahead of Hillary Clinton.
What in the HELL has happened to this country.
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Then Ras national pole may be off or incorrect.
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Actually, Hillary was supposed to be ahead in those same poles 8 years ago, Vic
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it is true that these Ras state polls were taken on two of the days they had Trump up only 2 nationally, so that explains some of it
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Also, hasn’t their head pollster/director,said that trump is even stronger than the poles?
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(whatever that even means).
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Vic – The Dem candidate doesn’t matter anymore. The race is Trump vs. Trump Hatred.
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https://x.com/mrddmia/status/1825232569950158976?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
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Man, it’s rough out there. I went to the rrhelections blog. And I was the usual sweet fun loving kind of guy that you all have come to know and love. But for some reason; some kind of misunderstanding happened and the moderator started deleting my posts and gave me a stern warning to behave myself. I don’t have the foggiest idea what I did wrong? ☺️🤔😉
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Yeah Quemala is extremely popular overnight. /s.
bs
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Bitter, sadly, whatever R candidate is put up now will get the same treatment. If RDS were the nominee he would be eviscerated as a “cultural warrior” and would still face the same H*tl#r stuff. All would apply, racist, homophobic, etc etc etc
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https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2024/08/18/off-script-disaster-kamala-harris-confounds-pa-crowd-with-word-salad-duality-democracy/
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” I still find it amazing that a candidate who would have lost had they an open primary this year, and who couldn’t even get 5% in the primary in 2020, and who was at a 28% approval rating 45 days ago…is suddenly this strong in a Presidential race…running ahead of Hillary Clinton.
What in the HELL has happened to this country.
******************************************************
NEVER UNDERESTIMATE THE STUPIDITY AND IRRATIONALITY OF THE AMERICAN VOTER.
They bought the “Great Disappearance” of 2020 where Bien stayed in his basement.
They are buying the “Great Deception” of 2024, where Queen Kamilia Kamala is all things to all people.
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Or you are being fooled by the poles.
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Vic – The Dem candidate doesn’t matter anymore. The race is Trump vs. Trump Hatred.”
Zzzzz…..that would apply to ANY GOP candidate.
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Walt, it is Trump’s fault for giving us good times!
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LOL
“Giving Kamala Harris control over inflation policy is like giving Jeffrey Epstein control over human trafficking policy” – JD Vance
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High energy prices are hurting me and my family, so I will vote for the party who brought me that.
High inflation of food and everything else is hurting me and my family, so I will vote for the party that gave me that.
Between higher prices and shrinking value of the dollar I and my family is being hurt, so I will vote for the party that brought me higher prices and double-digit inflation.
Open southern border is hurting me and my country, so I will vote for the party that brought me that.
The one time fairly peaceful world scene has been replaced by a world scene of chaos and warfare and that is hurting me and my family, so I will vote for the party that caused the chaos ushered in war in various parts of the world.
The push for extra special rights for psychologically damaged people of the trans and LBGTQEIEIO community has hurt me and my family, so I will vote for the party that pushes for trans/BGTQEIEIO agenda.
“Say, that apple the serpent if offering me (that I know I should decline) looks pretty tasty!”
“NEVER UNDERESTIMATE THE STUPIDITY AND IRRATIONALITY OF THE AMERICAN VOTER.”
******************************
Never seek rationality where none exists.
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Yikes.
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/08/kamala-harris-drops-sheetz-gas-station-its-just/
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But Quemala is the next coming of the obumbler I read it here
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Are Doritos going to be the skittles of 2016?
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https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/08/energy-is-overwhelming-small-crowd-shows-up-kamala/
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doritos
to sorid
roost ID
doorist
so torid
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My wine chick friends will now vote for Kamala because she eats Doritos,
-free passer
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I think the polls in general are good for Trump.
Despite the advantage in ads Bitter talks about, the MSM swooning over the reinvented Kamala, the hype, the VP pick, etc. Trump is still in a much better position than he was in 2016 or 2020.
IF the polls are off by as much as they were in both those election, he will win easily.
If the election were held today, he would win.
Maybe Kamala can sustain her “reinvention”. But she might have blown her wad so to speak and she is still not ahead in the EC.
A lot still too happen.
But put a gun to my head today and I would say I would rather be Trump.
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Kamala knifed the wine sipping libs in the back by going to a deplorables gas station instead of WahWah?
That is treason.
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Jason continues to display his arrogant ignorance. Wawa is huge in all areas around the eastern part of PA – Delco, the Main Line, Lehigh Valley, Philadelphia, etc.
All income groups, races and ethnicities.
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I went to a Sheetz in Ohio. Ordered some fries and cheese kurdels.
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Zzzzzzzz. I try to help Tina and she responds with nonsense.
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Sheetz has the coconut nitro latte. Doesn’t sound deplorable-friendly.
https://www.sheetz.com
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I still remember when Jason claimed he went to a Wawa but then had to admit that he didn’t.
Sheetz and Wawa are both convenience stores that also make ready to go meals. For all types of people.
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I heard about Wawa and their coffee. Most say it’s the best when compared to other chains. I have never been
The sheetz was in Columbus Ohio.
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I heard on X that WaWa is a front for the Amish Mafia!
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Ma, that WahWah bait always works with Bitterfish.
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https://www.breitbart.com/politics/2024/08/18/new-york-times-columnist-maureen-dowd-biden-ouster-coup-still-coup/
”Maureen Dowd, columnist for the New York Times, penned a tongue-in-cheek op-ed knocking the Democrats for all their talk about democracy after their “coup” against President Joe Biden.
Published on Saturday, the column from Maureen Dowd highlights how high-level Democrat leaders, from Barack Obama to Nancy Pelosi, worked behind the scenes to push Biden into dropping out, which may generate some bad blood going into the Democratic National Convention (DNC) next week.”
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CSpan-2 and 3 have programs about history on the weekends. I just watched Nixon’s resignation speech. I was 6 years old when he resigned. I remember my dad yelling “He should have burned the tapes!” at the tv. He voted for Nixon in 1960, 1968 and 1972.
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I have heard it is very good but I never drink coffee so I don’t know.
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Speaking of Amish, I was down by Airville and Woodbine today. Amish traffic jam there were so many buggies in all directions.
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” The race is Trump vs. Trump Hatred.”
Zzzzz…..that would apply to ANY GOP candidate.”
__________________
I disagree.
“Come on, Man!”
Trump brings his own hatred that is different from generic R hatred felt by many Ds.
–Hatred due defeating Hillary
–Hatred due to J6 (perception or reality)
–Hatred due to his never-ending supply of STUPID statements (most recent Medal of Honor)
–Hatred due to his billionaire wealth
–Hatred due to his vile nature of personal behavior and mean and demeaning tweets and condescending nature
–Maybe even hatred due to his age
–Hatred due to his self-perception of always being smartest person in the room (he is not)
–Hatred due to perceived “attempt to interfere” with the election in GA, AZ etc.
***********************
RDS and other possible R candidates do not have a hatred train nearly as long as Trump’s.
WHEN THE ELECTION IS OVER, PLEASE….PLEASE DO NOT SPEAK OF HOW TRUMP WAS THE BEST CANDIDATE WE COULD HAVE HAD AND, EVEN THOSE HE LOST, NO OTHER R COULD HAVE POSSIBLY DONE BETTER THAN TRUMP AGAINST BIDEN OR KAMELIA KAMALA OMPA LOOMPA.
I hope Trump defeats Kamelia Kamala. But he will not do so by his own ‘skill’. If he wins, it will because birdbrain Kamala will say and do normal Kamala stu.ff and the Great Deception will be unmasked and blown away as the voters see she is a goofball, with goofball policies.
*************************
This election is between an @$$hole who supports good governing policies
vs.
a more likeable, smiley, ha-ha-ha, person who supports horrendous governing policies
______________
Sorta like the 2020 election for POTUS when “The Great Disappearance” campaign of Biden defeated Trump.
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The hard D voters and Hard R voters votes are already baked in. Have been for many many months.
Sadly, I am afraid this election–like too many others–will be decided by significant slice of low information voters. Mostly independents.
And the D voting block is ALWAYS RELIABLE for the D candidate. To THEM, there is never a problem with voting D even if there is a good moral argument against the D candidate.
But a lot of R voters will refuse to vote for the R candidate due to a moral issue.
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Paul Villarreal (AKA Vince Manfeld)
@AureliusStoic1
Updated President Trump and Sen. JD Vance schedule for “DNC Week.” Will update further as necessary. * Mon 8/19 Trump in York, PA Vance in Philadelphia * Tue 8/20 Trump in Howell, MI Vance in Kenosha, WI * Wed 8/21 Both in Asheboro, NC * TR 8/22 Trump at the AZ border Vance in Valdosta, GA * Fri 8/23 Trump in Las Vegas, NV Trump rally in Glendale, AZ (information gathered from several news reports)
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Quemalas Doritos/sheetz appearance is a bad script.
https://x.com/JackPosobiec/status/1825334812309164533
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Commie la.
https://www.wnd.com/2024/08/commie-la-harris-trump-unveils-his-vision-of-democratic-national-convention/
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Trump brings his own hatred that is different from generic R hatred felt by many Ds.”
Nah.
ANY Republican would be submitted to the same vilification, maybe just different topics.
I think the “Trump hatred” thing is way overblown, especially considering that to counter that he also brings in an incredible amount of people who are enthusiastic about him, so I think in the end its a wash. He is a polarizing figure in the extremes, not in the middle.
As to who would be the best candidate to beat Biden (or Kamala) I have always made clear that I thought the best candidate that Rs could field was DeSantis. ‘
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New thread coming at 9:00
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You think the idea of Trump Hatred is overblown because you are sheltered from it where you live.
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