Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

Trump ahead in NV and GA, with Harris ahead in AZ and NC

According to new polling from the NY Times/Siena College:

NORTH CAROLINA
Trump44
Harris46
Others5
8/9-8/14; 655 LVNY Times/Siena
NEVADA
Trump46
Harris44
Others5
8/12-8/15; 677 LVNY Times/Siena
GEORGIA
Trump47
Harris44
Others5
8/9-8/14; 661 LVNY Times/Siena
ARIZONA
Trump43
Harris47
Others5
8/8-8/15; 677 LVNY Times/Siena

31 responses to “Trump ahead in NV and GA, with Harris ahead in AZ and NC”

  1. DW – You are posting under Bitterlaw.

    First

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  2. Wow, imo this is Trump’s best Ad. He is inspiring and uplifting. He gives hope and strength to people. Reminds me of President Reagan. If Trump was more like this; he would win in a landslide! But Jason wants Trump to personally attack Harris and call her names.

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  3. Sorry Bitter, not sure what happened there. Maybe because I had too many tabs open. I removed the one that I accidently posted under your name.

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  4. This is the #1 trending item on Twitter! πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚

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  5. Okay a correction. I pulled the numbers off the RCP page, and apparently they made a mistake and I copied their mistake. Apparently, Siena is claiming HARRIS leads in North Carolina by two, while at the same time she trails by THREE in GEORGIA.

    Not very likely, but I will update the thread in a few moments.

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  6. It’s ok. I just did not want people to think I was making substantive posts.

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  7. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    test

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  8. So NT Times/Siena would have us believe that the havoc Biden/Harris has brought on the economy is cheered in the Tar Heel state so much that it goes from Trump +1.3 in 2020 to Harris +2 in 2024. Okay. This poll won’t age well.

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  9. This price-fixing gambit was extremely stooopid for her to launch right before the Dem Convention, as if her aim was to torpedo her convention bump.

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  10. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    But Jason wants Trump to personally attack Harris and call her names.”

    Zzzzz…..

    The racist moron wants Trump to unilaterally disarm and let Kamala and Harris define him without hitting back.

    Political suicide.

    And Trump is no Ronald Reagan.

    You read it first here.

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  11. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Anybody who says Trump reminds them of Ronald Reagan is an idiot.

    Oh, wait….

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  12. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    It’s ok. I just did not want people to think I was making substantive posts.”

    You can sleep well, don’t worry.

    Like

  13. Any pollster that tells you that NC is going for Harris is lying to you. Not mistaken. Lying.

    The only time Dem has won our state for President in the last 60 years was Obama in 2008 when he won by 14k votes out of 4.2 million cast.

    Harris is not ahead now, nor will she be.

    Liked by 1 person

  14. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    I am surprised the racist moron brings up Reagan.

    Reagan was not an isolationist.

    Reagan believed in limited government.

    Reagan believed in free enterprise.

    Reagan believed in free trade.

    Reagan believed in personal responsibility.

    Reagan was a fiscal conservative.

    Trump, of course, believes in NONE of these conservative principles.

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  15. Kamala Harris wants to confiscate patents owned by individuals and companies for their products.

    “I will snatch their patent so that we [the federal government] will take over.”

    She isn’t even trying to hide what she agenda is anymore!

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  16. Albert, I couldn’t agree more about NC. Its absurd that they say Trump is ahead substantially in GA, with the reverse in NC. Clearly that NC poll is an outlier or just a liar. Either way, its absurd, and out of step with the reality on national polling. If Trump was truly down two in NC, then the national numbers would be Harris 50, Trump 42. There is some flexing between the movement of numbers based on known factors like the candidate’s home state, or issues that come up, but the flexing has a breaking point.

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  17. What her agenda is. Ok, that is when she was a Senator but, her plans haven’t changed. If she becomes President this country as we know it is over!

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  18. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    There is a concerted effort in the MSM to pretend “NC is now in play”.

    They all have the same talking point.

    So the poll helps the meme.

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  19. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Biden assigns SS protection for ex-SS director.

    You can’t make this sh-t up.

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  20. And yet, were is the polling of Texas? They were saying early this year that Biden would put Texas in play. Biden gonna flip Texas. They polled it relentlessly, but alas, not even close.

    You know very well that they have been polling the tarnation out of it ever since Harris took over, but each time they flushed the results down the toilet so they don’t mess up the Harris surge narrative.

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  21. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Funny (and perfect) impersonation of Trump

    https://x.com/jason_howerton/status/1824569075441471999

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  22. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    New health emergency coming to an election near you..

    “The World Health Organization has declared the ongoing outbreaks of mpox in Congo and elsewhere in Africa to be a global emergency, requiring urgent action to curb the virus’ transmission.”

    AP already has the headline:

    “Now that mpox is a global health emergency, will it trigger another pandemic?”

    Like

  23. Jason, the democrat for all intensive purposes is trying to tell me about President Reagan. Obviously, he has forgotten Reagan’s eleventh commandment. I knew MD was a closest democrat before he ever came out. And you read it here first Jason is also a democrat. He already left the Republican Party. He already said, he will not vote for President Trump. He is slowly coming out of the closet. He would rather have the most leftist ticket in history Harris/Walz win than President Trump and Vance. And what is his excuse. Ukraine!!! Give me a break. πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚. And now you notice he is starting to call us racist. A typical Democrat move. First he called nycmike a racist. Now, he is calling me a racist. Who will be next? This is going to be another excuse he uses to leave. Republicans are ‘ Isolationist and racist ‘ πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚ I guarantee everyone right now. Jason will join MD and will be gone in less than a year from now.

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  24. These are the garbage poles for the convention. I am sure one or more free passers will fall for them.

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  25. it’s back to a national pole lead for trump. The same as it was when demented was running.

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  26. Trump is losing Nc. He is not talking about the issues and keeps sending out mean tweets.

    -free passer

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  27. Nobody at HHR said this.

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