Trump Job Approval

Pollsters wrong in 2024:42.0 / 55.1-13.0
Pollsters right in 2024:46.2 / 51.0-4.8

2026 House Forecast

GOPDEM
Democrats +3216219

2026 Senate Forecast

TXMEOHMIGANHNCMN
Gap+4.5+2.0+1.4+1.4+1.4+3.6+6.2
Count5051525347464544

National polling shows Trump back in lead

Here is a line chart showing the recent gains Trump is making nationally. These are actual numbers showing the averages of the actual polling, not opinion.

96 responses to “National polling shows Trump back in lead”

  1. I posted thst article. It’s going back to where it was when demented was running.

    Like

  2. And of course very little if any of this polling takes into account Harris’ announcement that her plan is to destroy the economy with price fixing.

    Like

  3. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Bitter is going to have to give out some points. I know the theme is repeated, but that is how you get repeated points.

    1)Jason, the democrat for all intensive purposes

    2) Jason is also a democrat

    3) He is slowly coming out of the closet.

    4) Jason will join MD

    Like

  4. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    “calling us racist”

    No, I called YOU a racist.

    Like

  5. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Racist scum says I “forgot Reagan’s 11th commandment”.

    Hilarious.

    And of course, we all know Trump is a solid believer in “Reagan’s 11th Commandment” right, he NEVER attacks other Republicans.

    I think the racist scum is trying hard to take Tgca’s place as HHR clown.

    Like

  6. No points for #1 due to a usage/grammar error. It should be “intents and purposes.”

    Like

  7. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Racist scum also points out I left the Republican party.

    Finally gets one right.

    And why?

    Exactly because it is no longer the party of Ronald Reagan, which you unfortunately use in vain.

    You know nothing about Ronald Reagan, nada, zero, zilch.

    Like

  8. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    No points for #1 due to a usage/grammar error. It should “intents and purposes.”

    Damm, I hate losing points on technicalities.

    Like

  9. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Hey, wait, gimme back the points.

    HE wrote that, I only quoted it.

    I can’t lose points for someone else’s mistake.

    “Jason, the democrat for all intensive purposes is trying to tell me about President Reagan”.”

    Like

  10. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Look at Section 3A, Insert 45, line B of the Points Manual.

    “An A-hole will not be denied points for quoting insults verbatim even if they contain grammatical or other errors”

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  11. I have referred your challenge to the Olympics Committee. Good luck.

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  12. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Grossly unfair.

    I am being penalized because Michigan Guy, the self professed “real American”, is an illiterate moron.

    Sucks.

    Like

  13. Harry - Radiant Cheesecake Avatar
    Harry – Radiant Cheesecake

    In looking at the numbers for the NC NY Times/Siena poll, it shows a big advantage for Harris with younger voters (believable to me).

    And it shows her winning 66% those who did not vote in 2020.

    Are those 66% people who just became eligible to vote? Or, people who sat out the 2020 election?

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  14. Wow, even CNN is slamming Harris.

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  15. Quemala will continue to trail. Doltz was a bust. The last week was just a disaster for Harris.

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  16. Be interesting to see her pole numbers given the price controls ad her admission that food is a lot higher.

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  17. “Guy, the self professed “real American”, is an illiterate moron.”

    Democrat jason is calling me an illiterate moron. This coming from the guy who took a month to figure out how to post here. Then took two weeks to figure out he could use a fake email to register here when DW started the login system so Bunu couldn’t anonymously post here. You can’t make this sh*t up! 😂😂😂. And when did I ever professed to be a ‘real American’?? What is that about? As Trump said to Biden during the debate. I don’t think even he knows what he is talking about. 😂 Bl, I know I am not in the a-hole club but I deserve some points!!!

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  18. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    And when did I ever professed to be a ‘real American’??”

    Zzzzz….

    What do you think “jason doesn’t understand politics in THE US mean”?

    I got the message.

    And the message is you are racist scum.

    You think you are “more American” than I am because you an ignorant small minded xenophobic jerk.

    GFY.

    Like

  19. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    n looking at the numbers for the NC NY Times/Siena poll, it shows a big advantage for Harris with younger voters (believable to me).”

    Not very believable to me.

    Young people are facing the same issues. High prices, high mortgage/interest rates, etc. ‘

    A certain number have been brainwashed in Marxist ideology so they might be attracted to Harris. But those actually working for a living have little reason to support her.

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  20. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Michigan Guy who has always been a fake conservative has outed himself to his real racist persona and his response is to call me a “Democrat” even though nobody here is more critical of the Democrat agenda than I am.

    The genie does not go back into the bottle.

    Like

  21. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    I can understand why Michigan Guy is so unhinged. Ukraine’s refusal to surrender to his hero and icon Putin is triggering him, and the invasion of Russia by Ukrainian troops has pushed him over the edge.

    Like

  22. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Democrats play to win…

    The Michigan Bureau of Elections on Friday disqualified independent presidential candidate Cornel West, the civil rights activist and philosopher, along with his running mate from appearing on the Nov. 5 General Election ballot over a technical violation of state law.

    Jonathan Brater, Michigan’s elections director, wrote the West campaign a letter dated Friday saying that the affidavits of identity submitted to the Secretary of State’s Office in June for West and his vice presidential running mate, Melina Abdullah, were not properly notarized.

    The West campaign did not immediately respond to an email from the Detroit Free Press, a USA TODAY Network partner, about the disqualification on Friday.

    Like

  23. Jason- You think, talk and hinge your vote more on giving Ukraine our borrowed resources than you do in participating in securing our own country’s well being.

    Liked by 1 person

  24. Everyone against the grifer and the reckless spending is poot poots ally.

    it’s like option c does not exist

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  25. Sorry. Only A-holes can get points. I will refer you to DW for a-hole commendations.

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  26. The Siena polls with Kamala leading in Arizona and North Carolina both show big swings in the white vote from 2020. Trump is +1 with white voters in AZ (+6 according to 2020 exit polls) and +15 in NC (compared with +33 in 2020). In the Siena polls that Trump leads (NV and GA) the white vote is almost spot on with the 2020 numbers, +13 in NV and about +40 in GA. It seems odd that Trump would be bleeding white voters in some states but holding steady in others.

    Liked by 2 people

  27. But nobody will do less to stop Harris.

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  28. There is no better investment in protecting America’s strategic interests than sending military aid to Ukraine.

    I will not agree with Jason’s refusal to vote to stop Harris but I agree with him on Ukraine.

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  29. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    “securing our own country’s well being.’

    If you weren’t such a moron, you would understand that “pur country’s well being” depends on the economy, international trade and markets, strong political and military alliances and stable

    Your stupid belief that we would be “secure” surrendering to our enemies, and that we would be “economically secure” by giving up on our interests abroad is profoundly ignorant.

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  30. It doesn’t. You either oppose Putin or you don’t.

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  31. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    it’s like option c does not exist”

    Option C by the Putin lapdog.

    “Unconditional surrender by Ukraine and total victory by Putin”

    There, I translated it for the Putin sycophant.

    Like

  32. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    You either oppose Putin or you don’t.”

    Option C.

    LOL

    The Putinistas never cease to come up with more excuses for their support for Putin’s aggression and war crimes.

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  33. The 2 idiots have been wrong about the war since the beginning.

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  34. Remenber when the two idiots said that nord 2 was blown up by the Russians and we had checks in place to account for the wasted money going over there?

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  35. Those are just two examples.

    The one idiot wanted to give Fraudci metals for doing a well done job.

    Liked by 1 person

  36. The good thing is that the grift ends in January.

    Liked by 1 person

  37. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    The 2 idiots have been wrong about the war since the beginning.”

    This from someone who came here the first night of the war to declare that Putin had won.

    Like

  38. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    “Remenber when the two idiots said that nord 2 was blown up by the Russians and we had checks in place to account for the wasted money going over there?

    Which “idiots” said that?

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  39. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Maybe we should call her Option C Tina.

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  40. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Tina is triggered by Ukraine’s attack into Russia.

    She is worried it makes her hero Putin look bad.

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  41. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    Kamala lost her big lead at Polymarkets, I guess the bettor were not impressed by her Communist Manifesto.

    https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2024?tid=1723920021605

    Like

  42. jasonyupanqui47 Avatar

    For those worried Col Custard was released in a nearby field.

    “An intrepid varmint dubbed Colonel Custard — so named for the frozen custard shop and mini-golf outlet where he was discovered — was found stowed away with a passel of stuffed animals prizes in an arcade game two weeks ago. Players were maneuvering a mechanical claw to pluck toys from the glass game case when they suddenly realized a real live groundhog was blinking back at them.

    The newly named colonel was found in Hollidaysburg, a good hour’s drive from Pennsylvania’s far more famous groundhog town, Punxsutawney, home to the weather-predicting groundhog Phil.”

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  43. “You think you are “more American” than I am because you an ignorant small minded xenophobic jerk.”

    “Michigan Guy who has always been a fake conservative”

    “I can understand why Michigan Guy is so unhinged. “

    Democrat Jason calls me unhinged while going on a rant for not one, not two but three posts! 😂😂😂

    Democrat Jason, I never implied you were not a real American. What I was trying to imply in my original post that got you so upset was that you are ignorant about how politics works; not that you aren’t an American. You said you serve in the military. I will take you at your word and thank you for your service. I believe you are a real American democrat. I hope that clears that up.😉 Democrat Jason calls me a fake conservative yet I’m voting for every Republican on my ballot this November and he is going to stay home and eat some scrapple. Now, Democrat Jason has said Trump isn’t a conservative. Now, it’s true that Trump was a Democrat up until he ran for President, but guess what President Reagan used to be a Democrat too. Yet nobody says Reagan wasn’t a conservative. 🤔 Now, is Trump conservative in all his views? Maybe not, but lets see what Trump accomplished while he was President.

    During the Trump administration, the US economy experienced a period of growth and prosperity. Some notable achievements include:

    Job Creation: The economy added 7 million new jobs, exceeding government projections and reaching a low unemployment rate of 3.5%, the lowest in a half-century.

    Wage Growth: Wages rose fastest for low-income and blue-collar workers, with a 16% pay increase.

    Middle-Class Income: Middle-class family income increased nearly $6,000, more than five times the gains during the entire previous administration.

    Poverty Reduction: Poverty rates for African Americans and Hispanic Americans reached record lows.

    Homeownership: African American homeownership increased from 41.7% to 46.4%.

    Small Business Optimism: Small business optimism broke a 35-year-old record in 2018.

    Tax Cuts: The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (2017) reduced the corporate tax rate from 35% to 21% and doubled the standard deduction, making the first $24,000 earned by a married couple completely tax-free.

    Regulatory Reforms: The administration eliminated 8 old regulations for every 1 new regulation adopted, reducing the direct cost of regulatory compliance by $50 billion and projected to reduce costs by an additional $50 billion in FY 2020.

    Opportunity Zones: Created nearly 9,000 Opportunity Zones, where capital gains on long-term investments are taxed at zero, attracting $75 billion in funds and driving $52 billion of new investment in economically distressed communities, creating at least 500,000 new jobs.

    Secured a $400 billion increase in defense spending from NATO allies by 2024, as the number of members meeting their minimum financial obligations more than doubled Credited by Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg for strengthening NATO

    Worked to reform and streamline the United Nations and reduced spending by $1.3 Billions. Allies, including Japan and the Republic of Korea, committed to increase burden-sharing

    Protected our Second Amendment rights by announcing that the United States will never ratify the UN Arms Trade Treaty

    Returned 56 hostages and detainees from more than 24 countries

    Worked to advance a free and open Indo-Pacific region, promoting new investments and expanding American partnerships

    Advanced peace through strength

    Withdrew from the horrible, one-sided Iran Nuclear Deal and imposed crippling sanctions on the Iranian regime

    Conducted vigorous enforcement on all sanctions to bring Iran’s oil exports to zero and deny the regime its principal source of revenue

    Brokered economic normalization between Serbia and Kosovo, bolstering peace in the Balkans.

    Signed the Hong Kong Autonomy Act and ended the United States’ preferential treatment with Hong Kong to hold China accountable for its infringement on the autonomy of Hong Kong.

    Led allied efforts to defeat the Chinese Communist Party’s efforts to control the international telecommunications system.

    Renewed our cherished friendship and alliance with Israel and took historic action to promote peace in the Middle East.Recognized Jerusalem as the true capital of Israel and quickly moved the American Embassy in Israel to Jerusalem.

    Acknowledged Israel’s sovereignty over the Golan Heights and declared that Israeli settlements in the West Bank are not inconsistent with international law.

    Brokered historic peace agreements between Israel and Arab-Muslim countries, including the United Arab Emirates, the Kingdom of Bahrain, and Sudan.

    Brokered a deal for Kosovo to normalize ties and establish diplomatic relations with Israel.

    First American president to address an assembly of leaders from more than 50 Muslim nations, reaching an agreement to fight terrorism in all its forms.

    Established the Etidal Center to combat terrorism in the Middle East in conjunction with the Saudi Arabian government.

    President Donald Trump signed a “historical trade deal” with China that committed China to purchase $200 billion of additional US exports before December 31, 2021.

    Trump signs the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, updates the quarter-century-old NAFTA, with stronger protections for workers and the digital economy, expanded markets for American farmers and new rules to encourage auto manufacturing in North America.

    Appointed 234 federal judges including 3 Supreme Court Justices! And these judges were selected by two conservative organizations! The Heritage Foundation and The Federalist Society!

    Democrat Jason in 3.2.1. but but he still gave money to democrats before he became President!!!

    Liked by 3 people

  44. “You either support Putin or you don’t”

    Or .. I couldn’t give a flying f*ck what some quasi despot does on the other side of the planet, as long as it doesn’t negatively affect American interests

    And no, territorial war disputes between ultra corrupt Ukraine and Russia doesn’t affect our interests. Putin takes over Ukraine today and NOTHING will change for Americans or our standing and security in the world (well except we’ll at least stop footing the bill for a foreign war)

    Liked by 1 person

  45. Had Romney or McCain, or any bush-ite corporatist “republican” been president, we’d still have gotten pulled into the Ukraine war. After Regan left, Bush Sr. and his fellow neo con shills took over the Republicans party for the next 20 years, and turned it into a corporate industrial war complex shill party that DESTOYED the Republican brand. For most of my upbringing being a Republican was to be an unpopular loser. That’s what the neo conservatives did to the party. Thank God someone like Trump came along and brought the party back to common sense governance and made it “cool” to be Republicans again. Thank God Trump came along and brought in a new wave of culture fighters

    ALL politics is downstream from culture

    Liked by 1 person

  46. Putina can’t wait for Putin’s victory and more dead Ukrainians.

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  47. Reagan was a conservative and a Republican for many years before he ran for President. Trump has never been a conservative.

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  48. Russian military bases moved hundreds of miles west into Europe DOES affect American interests.

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  49. Bl, you can say whatever you want about Trump as long as you vote for him. 😂😂😂

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  50. Yeah at least bl is voting for trump. The other one cannot.

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  51. Reagan oversaw and caused a massive increase in military spending and growth, especially the navy. Thank him for doing so as it defeated that USSR. The military is smaller and weaker now despite DL’s rant about “a corporate industrial war complex shill party.”

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  52. Trump Pa rally today.

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  53. Michigan Guy – a nice rundown of accomplishments during the Trump presidency. Jason/Bitter get too caught up in nonsense negatives, instead of giving equal time to his many positives.

    Liked by 1 person

  54. The more I read and the more I think about this absurdly stupid plan of Harris to openly embrace price controls, the more I think she has handed Trump a huge campaigning gift.

    Harris’ first big mistake was her lack of leadership in being pressured into going with Walz instead of Shapiro.

    Her second biggest mistake is the price controls. That message will only play well in parts of California, Hawaii, Massachusetts, and the most liberal college towns sprinkled around the country.

    Had she had any advisors with smarts, she would have been pressed to move a little toward the middle, but instead she stupidly goes so hard left, even the Wash Post criticized it.

    Liked by 1 person

  55. Price controls are horrendous. She was limping into her convention, as Doltz was an error.

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  56. Her crowd in Nc was 109 people.

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  57. Trump’s event STAFF number more than Harris’ event ATTENDEES!

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  58. Also, how many media were “counted” in the crowd?

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  59. 106…LOL

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  60. Two days in a row with Rasmussen finding only Trump +2, Wednesday and Thursday of this week. No word on Friday or today.

    Liked by 1 person

  61. Vic, congratulations. You finally figured out how to upload a video. Or did one of your boys do it for you? Just joking.😉

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  62. hahaha it was an accident. go figure

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  63. Trump was a good President. Reagan was a Top 5 President. Both can be true.

    Liked by 1 person

  64. That is what I get for making fun of Vic. Now, I screwed it up. 😂😂😂

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  65. Karma is a …

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  66. MG, thats soooo true. Everytime I go to the grocery store I can see it…and with the growing and eating more…ouch

    I don’t know how some families do it anymore

    Liked by 1 person

  67. DW and I post the threads. Don’t F with the real power, Vic.

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  68. LOL…I think MG was referring to the fact that I screw up posting videos in threads.

    The two times I posted to here when you or DW was away no one ever saw it…so yeah…Ill remain the third String QB whose main job is to approve posts when youre not around…and keep the peace here 😉

    Liked by 1 person

  69. Vic, what is up with the Mets. Their organization is making a lot of people mad.

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  70. Hawk Tuah Girl’s First Pitch at a Mets Game Got Everyone Unnecessarily Mad

    https://www.rollingstone.com/culture/culture-news/hawk-tuah-girl-first-pitch-mets-game-people-mad-1235081665/

    Liked by 1 person

  71. OMG I had no idea that they had hawk tua girl throw out the first pitch to her friend. If I had know I may have found my way to the game!!!

    But seriously, I can’t believe they did in on kids camp day…though I am sure they enjoyed watching her run and chest bump her friend.

    That made my day!!!!!

    Like

  72. What about the fan being denied entry because of her Maga hat. I bet if she had a Kamala hat, if she has one; they would of let her in. Damn New Yorkers! 😉

    Liked by 1 person

  73. Is there a double like button LMAO…btw at the end I see the plug for Rick Shiels best round haha

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  74. OK I see that Trump and Fox are both running with my Komrade Kamala moniker. I knew I should have trademarked that!!!!!

    I don’t think I can get the image to upload of the headline…

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  75. hahah jinx

    Liked by 1 person

  76. Mark Mitchell, Rasmussen Reports @Mark_R_Mitchell·

    13h

    Four out of seven swing states done. The election is closer than it was in July, but definitely not Harris’ to lose. You will see numbers real soon.

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  77. Mark Mitchell, Rasmussen Reports @Mark_R_Mitchell

    ·

    Platinum subscribers currently can see the crosstabs.

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  78. WP/ABC/Ipsos

    🔵 Harris: 47%
    🔴 Trump: 44%
    🟡 RFK Jr: 5%

    17 (2.8/3.0) | 8/9-13 | 1,975 RV | ±2.5%

    Cross tabs

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1IMeEXjlWFyHsN8UItbpGEMRtZbglHdDhNwQQVrG_0fM/edit?gid=823001744#gid=823001744

    Topline  and Methods 

    https://washingtonpost.com/documents/a54235f4-501d-4794-b207-cafafcf104f3.pdf?itid=lk_inline_manual_5

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/tablet/2024/08/15/aug-9-13-2024-washington-post-abc-news-ipsos-poll/

    For some reason they are hiding the breakdown between Republican/Democrat in this poll.

    I couldn’t find it. Maybe, someone else can.

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  79. Trump is back tweeting on X

    https://x.com/realDonaldTrump

    Like

  80. Mark Mitchell, Rasmussen Reports
    @Mark_R_Mitchell
    ·
    15m
    Fascinating:
    NYT: our polls are probably underestimating Trump support and we aren’t correcting for it.

    Like

  81. NT

    Like