This one by Cygnal, and they show another tie, and Casey with the edge in the senate race. They also show Shapiro +22 on his net job approval. I Just wondEr why it Was that Harris didn’t pick him? This new poll was taken 8/14-8/15 against 800 LVs with a MoE of 3.4:
 | PENNSYLVANIA |
| Trump | 47 |
| Harris | 48 |
| Full field: | |
| Trump | 44 |
| Harris | 43 |
| Kennedy | 5 |
| U.S. Senate: | |
| McCormick | 42 |
| Casey | 46 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
94 responses to “Another new poll of Pennsylvania”
First!
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John Podhoretz
@jpodhoretz
·
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Obama economist Jason Furman gives the game away in the NYT when he says the Harris proposals are awful so hopefully they won’t matter: “This is not sensible policy, and I think the biggest hope is that it ends up being a lot of rhetoric and no reality.”
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https://x.com/ScottJenningsKY/status/1824274409395265618?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1824274409395265618%7Ctwgr%5Ed290009cb7593eecd098b523f00ecd100bd3864b%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Ftheconservativetreehouse.com%2Fblog%2F2024%2F08%2F16%2Faugust-16th-2024-presidential-politics-resistance-day-1306%2F
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just started a new thread so won’t add one for this, but will include it in the AZ senate page:
ARIZONA SENATE poll by
@WPAIntel
for
@club4growth
(R)
🔵 Ruben Gallego: 48%
🔴 Kari Lake: 46%
🟢 Mike Norton: 3% 130 (1.7/3.0) | 8/11-13 | 600 LV | ±4%
https://azcentral.com/story/news/politics/elections/2024/08/16/gallego-leading-lake-polls-arizona-us-senate-race/74785439007/
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Menendez has ended his independent bid for NJ Senate, and he quit in time so his name will NOT be on the ballot. Accordingly, I have removed NJ from the list of competitive senate races.
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I’m surprised Republicans aren’t spending more in the Michigan Senate race. Mike Rogers is the best Senate candidate we have had in a very long time. And I do believe if Trump wins Michigan; Mike Rogers will win his Senate race.
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https://trendingpoliticsnews.com/kamala-humiliated-after-just-dozens-show-up-for-major-rally-mace/?utm_medium=agg&utm_source=economics
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And everyone here knows I have never been optimistic about Republicans winning a Senate seat in Michigan. But for the first time in two decades Republicans have a real chance of winning a Senate race.
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I think this is an excellent move on Trump’s part. It indicates he’s taking the upcoming Harris debate very seriously.
”The New York Times reported Friday that Trump has brought in former Hawaii Democrat Congresswoman Tulsi Gabbard as he begins preparation for his debate showdown with Harris next month in Philadelphia.”
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https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/08/watch-idiot-kamala-harris-tees-up-perfect-trump/
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Very bad turnout here.
https://theconservativetreehouse.com/blog/2024/08/16/dozens-show-up-to-harris-campaign-event-in-north-carolina-to-hear-kamala-economic-plan/
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Those two graphs are why the Dems want “a referendum on Trump”.
And sadly, Bitter buys into it.
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Billionaire Republican megadonor Miriam Adelson appears to have a blank check policy when it comes to her support of former President Donald Trump.
https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/16/donald-trump-miriam-adelson-campaign-funding.html
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Zzzzzzz Dems are pounding Trump 4-1 in ads where I live and Trump is giving up on slot of voters.
Also, Trump is not voting for Trump so he can F off.
Remember – If Trump wins PA by 1 vote, thank me. If Harris wins PA by 1 vote, thank Jason.
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Jason’s analysis would be relevant if he was voting for Trump. He’s not so it is worthless when it matters.
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Shortest political ad in history…..LOL
https://x.com/EndWokeness/status/1824525304641278172?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1824525304641278172%7Ctwgr%5E1d9d7579cc04535357b097784bf098a2c050004a%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Ftwitchy.com%2Fdougp%2F2024%2F08%2F16%2Fkamala-harris-helped-create-the-shortest-political-ad-ive-ever-seen-for-trump-that-is-n2399726
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Also, Trump is not voting for Trump so he can F off.”
Bitter is unhinged.
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and Trump is giving up on slot of voters”
What voters is Trump giving up on?
This should be good.
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Edwin McCain and Collective Soul were very good. Waiting for Hootie and the Blowfish.
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Everyone here is talking about how Kamala’s Marxist agenda will harm America.
Except Bitter, who wants to talk about how he hates Trump, how many people hate Trump, how many people want viable fetuses killed, and how many people Trump “is giving up on”.
Oh yeah, and remind us one more time that he wants a medal for voting for Trump.
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Kamala: I want price controls and add.another $1.7 trillion in boondogles
Bitter: I hate Trump.
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Jason wants to be taken seriously but will do nothing to actually help Trump win.
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Another powerful Anti-Harris Ad!
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Tell you what, if everyone else is also tired of hearing Bitter whine that he will vote for Trump but he hates Trump, I will fork over $50 to make him a medal inscribed.
“Order of merit for supreme sacrifice of his sanctimonious values and fake moral superiority by voting for Trump”
Anyone else want to contribute, we might even spring for a silver medal.
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Jason wants to be taken seriously but will do nothing to actually help Trump win.”
Bitter actually wants Trump to win by endlessly reciting talking points against him.
Got it.
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Jason, I will make you a deal. If you promise to vote for Trump I will contribute to Bl medal. Deal?
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Jason is actually worse than Robbie and Corey. None of them is voting for Trump but Jason actually admits Harris has to be defeated. He just won’t do anything to stop her.
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MG – Don’t waste your time. Jason is all talk. He has lost all credibility because he won’t vote to stop Harris in a critical swing state.
He should just type in Qu’chua because his posts in English mean nothing unless he is going to help Trump win. Him. Not his wife. Not his llama. Him.
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It is sad that Robbie, Corey, and Jason are equally worthless in saving America.
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I am still waiting on the results for the Washington Land Commissioner race.
Two Republicans actually have a chance to win. Finally results are expected by 2031 at the latest. It’s amazing the technological advances that have been made in all areas except for counting ballots.
Washington Public Lands Commissioner Update – 08.16
The vote drops are in, and Sue Pederson got what she needed from the 5,500 votes in Walla Walla. The current tally is as follows:
🟢Jaime Herrera Beutler (R) – 416,999
🔵Dave Upthegrove (D) – 395,087
🔴Sue Pederson (R) – 394,136
Top two go on to the General Election.
There are 9,184 ballots left to be counted.
With current margins applied to the remaining 5,933 (accepted) ballots, the final count is expected to show Sue Pederson winning by 200 votes.
🔴Sue Pederson (R) – 395,915
🔵Dave Upthegrove (D) – 395,715
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If Jason is not going to vote for Trump, he really should just STFU. Let the adults who want to save the country talk.
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Silverhack concerned?
https://x.com/NateSilver538/status/1824499709697986583?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1824499709697986583%7Ctwgr%5Ee456d66d93c84c83e1c1b4a0a2b91289c9bacbf4%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fhotair.com%2Fheadlines%2F2024%2F08%2F16%2Fkamomentum-slowing-down-n3793250
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Let the adults who want to save the country talk.”
Bitter is going to save the country regurgitating Kamala’s talking points?
LOL
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Jason doesn’t want Vance to be a heartbeat away from the Presidency. But he is willing to accept Harris being President and Walz a heartbeat away from the Presidency.
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It is sad that Robbie, Corey, and Jason are equally worthless in saving America.”
Zzzzz…
Ma, that bait stinks.
Amoral Scumbag and the Biden Troll are voting for Kamala.
I think it is hilarious that Bitter wouldn’t vote for Trump in the primary “because he is a moron on Ukraine” but blames me for not supporting a ticket with a VP that advocates for Ron Paul’s foreign policy
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Jason doesn’t want Vance to be a heartbeat away from the Presidency. But he is willing to accept Harris being President and Walz a heartbeat away from the Presidency.”
Voodoo logic.
I don’t want any of them a heartbeat away from the Presidency.
Trump is not acceptable “as a moron on Ukraine” but somehow Vance who is 10 x worse on Ukraine is acceptable.
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That was a typo. But you knew that. Go back and hang out with Robbie and Corey.
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Fight the fight you’re in. Trump is the nominee and Harris has to be stopped.
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Jason says:
“
I don’t want any of them a heartbeat away from the Presidency”
Here is the real world, Trump or Harris is going to win. Choose.
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How is Trump personally attacking Harris helping Trump?”
I am surprised a “true conservative” like Michigan Guy wants Trump to be nice to Kamala?
I am not a believer in unilateral disarmament.
The Dems are attacking Trump “personally” 24/7.
Trump should be attacking Kamala “personally” 24/7.
No free lunch.
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I have agreed with Jason on more issues than we disagreed on for years. I accept his insecure contempt for me because it is not easy for him being the third A-hole.
But now is the time to stand for America’s future. Sitting it out is not acceptable. Whether Trump wins or loses, I will know I stood up for America’s future. Wes and I bitterly disagreed about this in our last discussion. Wes said Trump was a dictator who had to be stopped. Jason’s indifference is worse.
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Here is the real world, Trump or Harris is going to win. Choose.”
I choose not to support anyone whose ideas I believe to be a danger to the country.
There is a debate coming up. If Vance by some miracle abandons Ron Paul’s isolationist foreign policy that poses a huge security risk for the US I will consider voting for the ticket.
Not optimistic.
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In other news, Hootie & the Blowfish are killing it on stage. Great show.
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Enjoy the show, BL. It sounds like a great time. Jason will be here to shout at tomorrow.
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Jason’s indifference is worse”
I am not indifferent. I think a Kamala presidency would be a disaster.
Trump could have picked someone that understands we are not going be secure inside our borders if we are not willing to defend our interest outside of them.
He didn’t.
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The Dems are attacking Trump “personally” 24/7.
Trump should be attacking Kamala “personally” 24/7.
Obviously, Jason doesn’t know how politics works in the U.S. Let me try and explain it to him. Here in America the Democrats control the mainstream media so, they can say what they want and if they say something inappropriate the media will cover for them. Republicans don’t have that luxury. If a Republican says one little inappropriate word. It wil be played over and over again on all the media stations. It sucks but that is the game we are playing. Like it or not. So, if you want to succeed in politics you need to be wise like President Reagan was. Yeah, he might have thrown some insults at his opponents but he did it with style and class and a good sense of humor.
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109 was the official crowd count, including reporters, at the Harris Raleigh, NC roll out of her economic plan. That was a pathetic number of people for someone becoming a mega star politician in the eyes of the media. What can people believe these days????
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BTW, Vance is proving to be a great partner on the ticket with Trump. He is a multi-issue person who is delivering a multi focus message to voters.
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Obviously, Jason doesn’t know how politics works in the U.S.”
Zzzz….. I bet I have contributed more to America than you would in a 100 years so let’s start by telling you to GFY with your racist innuendo. You think “you know more” because I wasn’t born here? F–k you!
Second, you think Trump should cower in fear of the MSM?
Geezus.
I am sure Trump is getting a lot of this really bad advice and I hope he rejects it.
Letting the MSM attack you and define you without fighting back was one of the reasons McCain and Romney lost.
You might have been born here, but you are a poor student of history.
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Jason knows Harris would be a disaster as President. But he won’t vote to stop her. That is the issue. I was not happy that Trump chose Vance. But in the real world, only Trump or Harris will win. That is the fight we are in.
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I think Jason and some others on here are delusional. Trump and Vance are not Isolationist! That is a lie some in here like to keep repeating just so they can justify their political positions. Trump was President for 4 years. He had trade policies with many countries. Yes, he had a trade war with China but, eventually the two countries worked things out. And there is no reason to think that his second term will be any different than his first term. What this isolationist crap that some in here like to lie about has to do with one country! Ukraine! Some in here are so obsessed with Ukraine that they have literally lost all common sense. Trump is not going to let Russia take over Ukraine. If you think that you obviously do not know anything about Trump. Trump’s ego would never let Putin get the better of him. He will make a deal with Putin. He may let Putin have some land. I know you will be butt hurt about it but it’s either that or we send troops to help Ukraine. Yes, I see in the news that Ukraine has gained some territory in Russia but if you think they will be able to hold that territory you are clueless. Russia has around 143 million people compared to Ukraine that has 37 million. Right now Ukraine is running out of soldiers. That is why they now use people in their 60s to fight. Russia knows they just have to wait out the Ukraine army. Get your heads out of your behinds.
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“I bet I have contributed more to America than you would in a 100 years so let’s start by telling you to GFY with your racist innuendo. You think “you know more” because I wasn’t born here? F–k you!”
Wow, Jason is just like the Democrats. Since, he is losing the argument he uses the race card. Just like he did with nycmike. All I was saying is Republicans can’t get away with inappropriate behavior like the Democrats can.
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Trump is not going to let Russia take over Ukraine. If you think that you obviously do not know anything about Trump. Trump’s ego would never let Putin get the better of him.”
I actually agree with this.
I have made this point here many times and I would have voted for Trump because despite his isolationist idiocies and his stupid tariffs and trade wars he does have a pragmatic side.
It is Bitter who thinks Trump will surrender Ukraine, not me.
Vance, on the other hand, is a true believer and I don’t trust him on Ukraine, NATO, China, S Korea or any other strategic interest. I think he is a dangerous isolationist with a sophomoric understanding of geopolitics.
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All I was saying is Republicans can’t get away with inappropriate behavior like the Democrats can.”
Nah, that is a lie.
“jason doesn’t know how politics works in the U.S.”
You only said that because I wasn’t born here.
You are a scumbag.
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Since, he is losing the argument”
What argument did I lose?
That Trump should unilaterally disarm and cower in fear of the MSM?
McCain and Romney lost THAT argument, not me.
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Just like he did with nycmike.”
Yeah, you and him can get a room and trade racist and xenophobic memes.
I am sure it will be a lot of fun.
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“Letting the MSM attack you and define you without fighting back was one of the reasons McCain and Romney lost.”
You obviously need to go reread what I posted. I never said Trump shouldn’t fight back. Of course, he has to fight back. But not in a childish elementary school way! Like I posted earlier. He needs to do it the same way President Reagan did it. With wisdom and class.
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BTW, Vance is proving to be a great partner on the ticket with Trump. He is a multi-issue person who is delivering a multi focus message to voters.”
He fields “gotcha” questions well and refuses to get pinned down. I think he will do well against Walz.
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Jason, you can believe whatever you want to I really don’t care. You have called me so many mean and nasty names over the years and now you’re going to act holier than thou. Don’t make me laugh!
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He needs to do it the same way President Reagan did it.”
Trump is not Reagan.
And the environment today is very different. Reagan was portrayed as a warmonger and as dumb actor but he was not Hitler.
Trump has every right to attack Harris personally. He was perfectly right to point out she changes races as convenient. She is fair game.
The Dems attack Trump personally 24/7 as Hitler, a rapist, a con man, you name it. Nothing is too low.
So what is good for the goose is good for the gander.
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you have called me so many mean and nasty names over the years”
Awwww…..
You want a medal too? We can put racist xenophobic scumbag on it.
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Jason thinks Trump will defend America’s strategic interests but won’t vote for him. Got it.
I respect Jason’s military service. I am jealous of it because I was denied the chance to serve. That is why his refusal to vote to save the country he protected and was willing to die for is so difficult to accept.
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“You want a medal too? We can put racist xenophobic scumbag on it.”
All I’m saying is if you can’t take it than don’t dish it out! 😂😂😂
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Get your heads out of your behinds.”
Don’t you love it here?
This from a Putin lapdog with his head way up Putin’s ass.
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That is why his refusal to vote to save the country”
The problem with that is that don’t think putting Vance with very real chance as President is “saving the country”.
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Jason thinks Trump will defend America’s strategic interests but won’t vote for him. Got it.”
Will you guarantee he won’t die or be incapacitated for his entire term?
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But not opposing Harris who has very real chance of being President is saving the country?
Fight the fight you’re in.
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I made clear for months that I would not vote for a ticket with Haley, Vance or Vivek on it.
I am being entirely consistent.
Bitter can GFH.
But if he really wants to help Trump, he should get off his high chair of “hating Trump” and go out and campaign for him.
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HHR definitions
Isolationist = anyone who disagrees with Jason on foreign affairs.
Putin lapdog = anyone who doesn’t want to give Ukraine everything that Zelenskyy demands for the next 10 years; even if it destroys the U. S. Economy.
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Irony Meter explodes as Jason sits on his high chair of not voting for Trump because of Vance.
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Zzzzzzz Can you guarantee President Harris won’t be a disaster for the country? No. You predicted it but won’t try to stop it.
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But not opposing Harris who has very real chance of being President is saving the country?”
Kamala is a Marxist. She will govern as such. She wants a country very different that what you and I want.
But frankly, she does seems to understand the threat posed by Putin’s expansionist agenda a lot better than Vance does.
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Jason must think his hundreds of irrelevant posts between now and November will count more towards electing Trump than my vote. They won’t.
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even if it destroys the U. S. Economy.”
LOL
The aid to Ukraine is peanuts.
And money well spent and in OUR interest.
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Jason must think his hundreds of irrelevant posts”
Irony meter explodes as Bitter thinks hundreds of irrelevant “I hate Trump” posts are going to save the country from Kamala.
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Kamala is a Marxist. She will govern as such. She wants a country very different that what you and I want.
But only 1 A-hole will try to stop her.
I did not want Trump or Vance. I got both. The real world sucks. I will vote to save the country.
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“The aid to Ukraine is peanuts.”
HHR definitions
Isolationist = anyone who disagrees with Jason on foreign affairs.
Putin lapdog = anyone who doesn’t want to give Ukraine everything that Zelenskyy demands for the next 10 years; even if it destroys the U. S. Economy.
Peanuts = 100s of billions worth of weapons. Because unless Trump becomes President and ends this war it’s going to cost a lot. Kamala Harris with let the war drag on for years.
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I guess we both believe in saving the country. I think Ron Paul’s foreign policy views are dangerous to the country.
Actually, fight the fight you are in is your best argument.
Defeat Kamala now, and worry about Vance’s foreign policy later.
It’s not a a bad argument, but I made a commitment to myself that I would never vote for any candidate I felt was not fit for office.
I have yet to hear a convincing argument against that
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Because unless Trump becomes President and ends this war it’s going to cost a lot.”
Letting Putin win would cost a lot more. Trillions in fact.
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Betting markets not too impressed with Kamala’s economic plan.
She lost half her lead at Polymarkets and about a third of it at Predictit
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Does anyhone have an outline of her economic plan. I haven’t read it and don’t want to go to the MSM to hear them laud about it
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The argument is that either Trump or Harris is going to win. If Harris wins, your argument against Vance was a waste of time and helped Harris win.
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Kamala Harris plans are basically to steal the ones that Trump came up with.
No tax on tips
No tax on social security
Tax telief for lower and middle class
These are the ones her team came up with:
$6,000 credit for newborns
$25,000 for first time home buyers
Free healthcare for illegals
Punishing Supermarkets for trying to make a tiny profit
Temp/ permanent housing for illegals
Free debit cards worth thousands for illegals
Child tax credits $2000 – $6000
Affordable Care Act premium subsidies
Basically, free stuff for everyone. Except we all know nothing is free. We all are going to have to pay for all this one way or another.
https://www.cnn.com/2024/08/16/politics/harris-middle-class-tax-cuts-economic-policy/index.html
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The basic difference between the Harris and Trump agendas are:
Harris gives stuff and money away to appease the voters.
Trump provides voters opportunities to do well – like supporting economic growth, creating good jobs, cutting regulations.
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https://www.wnd.com/2024/08/polling-suggests-kamala-harriss-surge-is-over/
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This was poorly attended event for quemala. She also admitted that prices (food) is a lot higher now under watch.
https://trendingpoliticsnews.com/kamala-humiliated-after-just-dozens-show-up-for-major-rally-mace/?utm_medium=agg&utm_source=economics
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Joy did not look joyful. I can imagine her groupies upset with yesterday’s disaster.
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Is it price gouging or “price gauging”, Quemala?
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https://x.com/LauraLoomer/status/1824762824033230942
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