According to a new TIPP poll done for AmGreatness, 976 LV taken 8/12-8/14 with a ±3.4 MoE:
 | WISCONSIN |
| Trump | 47 |
| Harris | 47 |
| Other | 3 |
| U.S. Senate: | |
| Hovde | 43 |
| Baldwin | 50 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
16 responses to “Tie in Wisconsin”
First!
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Reposted from the end of last thread;
“That Express poll is bizarre when you fisk the cross tabs. Forget the lack of a MOE figure; if Trump is actually winning 21% of the Black vote (I don’t think it’s going to be that high, probably 14-18% tops, which is more than enough anyhow), the he wins. If he’s doing that while winning 60%+ among the 50 and older groups as well as whites overall and taking Hispanics by a point, it’s bordering on a landslide for him.
“Yet even with those numbers in hand, the article says Harris has a pathway to 270. The Limeys have no clue what’s going on over here, but they do seem obsessed with us.”
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DW, Democracy Institute is a joke anyway. They used to have a website: democracyinstitute.org but apparently they couldn’t afford it anymore. 😂
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“When asked who their neighbors are voting for, Wisconsinites said Trump by a +9% margin, 44-35%.”
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that’s the thing. Most people still think Trump is gonna win
which election was it we were talking about the shy voters. Comes to mind it was Obama. 08 but I could be wrong
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2016. On CNN election night coverage, Jake Tapper gave an anecdote about some guy he was talking to in the Philly area, and asking the guy how he was going to vote the guy said he was a leaner. A leaner? Yeah, the guy leaned in close to Tapper and said, I think I’m going to vote for him [Trump].
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You think a person will say they are voting for Kamala even though they prefer Trump because they are too shy to say it? LOL.
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No, they’re not shy. They’re scared.
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no. I just remembered the shy voter thing from 08 that never worked out. Was just a comment. Not related to the poll
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Vic, I was replying to Paul’s comment about the “shy” Trump voter.
I do remember a lot of posts in 2008 about the “Bradley effect”, based on California’s 1982 governor’s race. Tom Bradley, who was Black, lost to George Deukmejian even though he led polls up to election day. It was theorized some poll respondents were lying so they wouldn’t sound racist. A few pollsters thought the same would happen to Obama in 2008. We know how that went.
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https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/08/watch-peter-doocy-masterfully-gets-biden-admit-kamala/
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pretty clear that Quemala is falling. Her honeymoon is over with.
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https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/08/there-it-is-kamala-harris-brags-about-casting/
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Zzzzzzzz Man up. Everybody who knows me knows how I vote. If they have a problem with it, they can F off.
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I will be free to start new thread at 0900 tomorrow if Bitter doesn’t start one sooner
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NT
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