Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
| GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
15 responses to “New thread for overnight shift.”
first!
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one point of clarity on the methodology around what numbers to use when polls supply different scenarios and samples.
I always use likely voter sample compared to registered.
When they have Trump, Harris, and other, I use that over the Trump, Harris, RFK numbers.
When they have just Trump and Harris, versus the full ballot, I use the full ballot, but I count all the misfit numbers as one Other number.
This way the list of polls is constantly Trump, Harris, and other
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Brilliant.
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Good ad by Hovde. Unfortunately, Baldwin is likely to win unless something strange happens and Trump wins big in Wisconsin.
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If you want to watch Republican Senate Ads. This is a good YouTube channel to see them.
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Phillies Weston Wilson hits for the cycle. Probably destined for obscurity or back to Lehigh Valley Iron Pigs when another player comes off disabled list.
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Greg Kihn R.I.P.
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Jack Russell R. I. P.
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Two music legends died. Man, I grew up on their music. Sad.
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wow. You’re right so sad
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The Station fire in Rhode Island in 2003 must have haunted Jack Russell and all the band’s survivors from that tragic night.
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g morning to all
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Any new poles? Looks like a good polling day with faux, Rasmussen, and Patrick Bashams company. ( name escapes me).
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RIP Jack Russell and Greg KIhn. Over the last few years, I’ve made it my mission to go back and listen to my favorite artists from the 80s … before they pass on. This all started when Eddie Money passed in 2019 and I rediscovered his music from the early 80s.
Rediscovering music that I literally hadn’t listed to for 30 years, incredible.
My current playlists include Billy Joel, Phil Collins, Motley Crue, Journey, the “80s on 8” channel on Sirius XM, among various one-hit wonders.
We are losing these greats every day. Celebrate them now while they are still alive. I’ll be going for a 3 mile walk soon, Billy Joel’s “We didn’t start the fire” would be an appropriate piece for today (and really any day).
Big Joe
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https://x.com/ProudElephantUS/status/1824576996367593746
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