Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
 | GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
Trump Job Approval
| Pollsters wrong in 2024: | 42.0 / 55.1 | -13.0 |
| Pollsters right in 2024: | 46.2 / 51.0 | -4.8 |
| GOP | DEM |
| Democrats +3 | 216 | 219 |
The Hedgehog Report - Phoenix Edition 
80 responses to “HHR Evening Shift”
A theory over at Instapundit
“She and her running mate may come out of the convention even with, or perhaps even slightly ahead of, the Trump-Vance ticket.
The honeymoon will not last very long. Trump will succeed in painting Harris as an out-of-touch San Francisco leftist, much as Bush portrayed Dukakis as a Massachusetts liberal. Trump will find plenty of running room with that campaign, as there is hardly a left-wing cause that she has not embraced.
She was supposed to be in charge of the southern border but has done nothing for four years as millions of migrants flowed into the United States from just about every country in the world. She favored the Black Lives Matter campaign a few years ago (before it was revealed to be a fraud), raised money to bail out rioters and looters in Minnesota, and refused to condemn proponents of “defunding the police.” She was once a prosecutor, but very much of the kind favored by George Soros—that is, a pro-crime prosecutor. She supports the Green New Deal, with its array of taxes and subsidies designed to eliminate fossil fuels, gas-powered cars, and much else besides, including air conditioning and gas stoves. She favors cancellation of student debts, ruled unconstitutional by the federal courts. She is equivocal in support of Israel: she has supported a ceasefire in the current war, an approach favored by critics of Israel, and has criticized the Jewish state for not doing enough to ease the “humanitarian crisis” in Gaza.
In general, she views the United States and the world much as “the Squad” in Congress does—that is, from a left-wing point of view. She and her fervent supporters are out of touch with the views of most voters. As a result, middle-of-the-road voters, independents, and many Hispanics will desert Harris’s campaign. In addition, based upon her record, she is not even an especially effective campaigner or a speaker who conveys much substance on the stump.
Once her views are made known to the public, Harris’s support will begin to melt away, though perhaps not as thoroughly as Dukakis’s support did in 1988. After all, there are enough Trump-haters and loyal Democrats to prevent her campaign from collapsing altogether. But by mid-September, Trump will have opened up a six-point lead in the polls that will remain intact for the balance of the campaign. In October, Democrat operatives, aware that Harris’s ticket is going to lose, will begin to shore up downticket races for Congress in the hope of saving some degree of influence in the House and Senate, thereby preventing a total electoral debacle.”
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Jason, it’s a nice story if it turns out to be correct. The country is done if a Squad-style progressive becomes president.
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Jason has OD’d on Biden pills….
Chicon”
Chicon believes in that secret cabal nobody knows about it is so secret called the Deep State, the Tooth Fairy, the Easter Bunny, and Bigfoot.
Or maybe it is just the Deep State.
But I am the one on pills.
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Bridge today. Came in third and won some money.
Came home. Find that Facebook has Suspended/Restricted me.
Spend 45 minutes getting that all straightened out and I am now again good to go on Facebook.
Seems someone from the city of Van Dong, Vietnam has been logging in as me (not sure if they post things or not–I never saw anything.
I do not post political or obscene stu.ff of FB. But a day or two ago I did post how I found a huge amount of cardboard and other trash smack dab in the middle of road and it took me two trips to recycling center to clean it up. At the end of the FB post I wrote it is time to “Make America’s Roadsides Great Again.”
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MY BET is that someone read that MAGA thing and got offended. and reported it to FB. Of course, FB never shares with yu what post as offensive, etc.
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Kamala looks tense with Benji. He probably showed he some of the Mossad dossier on her…
Chicon
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“Once her views are made known to the public”
And herein is the problem. Its going to take us. We will have to get bold at the watercooler chat and family gatherings. The media, the internet, google, all of it will prevent Trump from making Harris’ views known to the public.
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Is it “racist” to notice things like that? Did you hear a whistle go off?”
Still waiting on the “context” of “go back where you came from”.
Come on, can’t you think of something. Usually you are pretty good at lying, give it a shot.
If it is good I will give it a good grade.
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You’re a high end liar.
I’ve described in the past what I define as deep state. You agreed at that point with my definition.
So, yeah, either Biden pills or bold-faced liar.
Chicon
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Seems someone from the city of Van Dong, Vietnam”
Van Dong is ok.
Beware of Hung Dong
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PROGRAMMING NOTE:
I am going dark until later on in the weekend. Vic and Bitter, the store is yours!
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You agreed at that point with my definition.”
I did?
So if I agree with your definition it means I am not an ostrich?
I am so relieved.
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I am going dark”
You better clarify that to NYC before he tells you to go back where you came from.
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Some days an ostrich, some days cogent. Biden pills…
Chicon
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This calling people names if fun! Thanks, Bitter, for showing the way!
Chicon
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Chicon believes in that secret cabal nobody knows about it is so secret called the Deep State, the Tooth Fairy, the Easter Bunny, and Bigfoot.”
“You’re a high end liar”
Ma, he went for that bait faster than NYC can put his head up Schumer’s ass, and that is FAST.
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I might go full out Paul, I’m so free!
Chicon
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Jason alleges bait, after the fact…..
Chicon
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Have a good weekend, DW.
Chicon
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Is Cere-troll Robbie?
Chicon
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The FBI has a Trump Questionnaire?
“It’s just an isolated incident” say The Ostriches, nothing to see here….
https://redstate.com/smoosieq/2024/07/25/not-all-of-fbi-director-christopher-wrays-testimony-on-wednesday-was-forthright-n2177374
Chicon
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Fortunately, this type of this isn’t coordinated with ANYONE in government.
– The Ostriches
https://redstate.com/jimthompson/2024/07/25/stalinist-tactics-are-on-full-display-willing-media-erasing-kamalas-leftist-history-n2177376
Chicon
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This type of thing….
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I’m not a classless fire-breathing keyboard warrior.
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Told ya I’m an old head here. I just never post until now
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DW have a great weekend. Taking the boys to NYC Man City – AC Milan game at the Satan Stadium, then Mets – Twins Monday night.
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the fib story is a conspiracy too
-free passer
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Here is the reason why Kamala will go down faster than when Willie Brown is in the room
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/top-jewish-group-fears-harris-presidency-would-far-worse-amid-rising-antisemitism
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Zzzzzzzzz Nobody says anything that Tina claims is said with her free passer act.
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I was so excited to learn that the Rasmussen poll is junk because party Id is d plus 7.
-free passer.
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Obumbler and bi mike continue to be upset with demented over Kampala’s endorsement.
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Obama is going to endorse Harris. She’s the pick. He’ll endorse her.
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The Jerusalem Post says Harris is off to a bad start regarding Israel.
https://m.jpost.com/opinion/article-811774
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Might be strategic for Michigan.
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Points for including all four nicknames.
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Another New Hampshire poll.
General Election Poll
New Hampshire
🟦Harris 50% (+6)
🟥Trump 44%
🟨 Kennedy 3%
https://www.anselm.edu/about/anselmian-hub/news/saint-anselm-college-survey-center-july-poll-finds-harris-currently-leading-trump-6-points-among-new-hampshire-registered-voters
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2024 National GE:
🟦Harris 44% (+1)
🟥Trump 43%
ChangePolls, 2,137 RV, 7/22-24
https://www.cnbc.com/video/2024/07/25/44-percent-of-registered-voters-say-theyre-more-motivated-to-vote-after-bidens-withdrawal-betsy-app.html
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2024 GE: NYT/Siena (likely voters)
🟥 Trump: 48%
🟦 Harris: 47%
🟦 Harris: 44%
🟥 Trump: 43%
🟨 RFK Jr: 5%
Crosstabs
• Biden 2020 voters:
Harris 92-5%
•Trump 2020 voters:
Trump 96-2%
• Did not vote in 2020:
Trump 51-38%
• Men:
Trump 56-39%
• Women:
Harris 55-41%
• Dem:
Harris 93-5%
• GOP:
Trump 93-4%
• Indie:
Harris 47-45%
• Ages 18-29:
Harris 59-38%
• Ages 30-44:
Harris 49-45%
• Ages 45-64:
Trump 51-45%
• Ages 65+:
Trump 51-46%
• White:
Trump 55-41%
• Black:
Harris 72-19%
• Hispanic:
Harris 60-36%
• Other:
Harris 58-36%
• White college:
Harris 56-41%
• White no college:
Trump 67-29%
• City:
Harris 59-35%
• Suburb:
Harris 51-46%
• Rural:
Trump 59-36%
•Trump
🟢 Favorable: 47%
🔴 Unfavorable: 52%
•Harris
🟢 Favorable: 46%
🔴 Unfavorable: 50%
• #1 (3.0/3.0) | July 22-24 | 1,142 LV• Sample with leans: R47/D46 | ±3.7%
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“Van Dong, Vietnam “
I had it backwards. It was Dong Van.
******************************
Sorry I got my dongs mixed up.
Speaking of which,
…our local emergency services posts various police and fire things like “Fire, Maple Drive Road” or “Fall Near Court House on King St.” Or “MVA Intersection of Rt 11 and Rt. 45” on their Facebook site. as a public service to inform people what is happening. The other day they posted one that said, “Shoplifting Dicks Retail Commons”.
The comments people made to the FB post were hilarious. The original post used no punctuation and people got a different story in their heads other than the police were responding to a shoplifting complaint at Dicks Sporting Goods store at the Retail Commons Shopping Center.
“Shoplifting Dicks Retail Commons”
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Based on the polls, It’s Kamala’s race to lose if she doesn’t do anything stupid at this point.
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Van Dong sounds really creepy.
But then again, so does Dong Van.
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Apart from her goofiness and someone she dated 30 years ago, I haven’t heard of any actual scandals about Kamala. Am I missing something?
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it’s not about scandals. It’s about her horrendous positions and failing as a leader. The rest of the country doesn’t want to be San Francisco
you thought these were the United States of DEI before, watch out if she wins
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btw the far left has pulled this off to a t. Trot out the bumbling idiotic Biden and make him look incompetent (something he’s been doing for 50 years) then roll out a fresh body, any body, and they look good
time will tell if the plan was successful. There is A LOT of her own words out there to use against her
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What horrendous positions?
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This week has been a real eye opener for me.
First, Biden comes on TV and tells me he suddenly decided to step aside and let Kamala carry the torch for America.
ALL THAT STUFF I THOUGHT I READ AND HEARD ABOUT BIDEN BEING IN DECLINE MENTALLY AND PHSYICALLY AND HOW TOP-RANKING DEMS BY THE SCORE WERE FORCING HIM TO WITHDRAW REALLY DID NOT HAPPEN!
Biden also set the record straight and said that “today, we have fewer illegals crossing the southern border than we did when Trump was president.” I do not recall the news people contradicting that statement, so I guess it was TRUE!
ALL THIS CRAP ABOUT 12 MILLION ILLEGALS COMING IN ACROS THE SOUTHERN BORDER IN THE LAWT 3 12 YEARS IS APPARENTLY ALL A BUNCH OF CRAP! (And I am glad to know that Trump let in more illegals than Biden.)
Also, I now read that VP Kamala was not appointed by Joe Biden to be the Border Czar.
ALL THE MSM STORIES IN THE PAST 3 1/2 YEARS HAVE BEEN TOTALLY FALSE!!!
And Kamala was NOT the most liberal senator for one year, (but instead was the 2nd most liberal in a two-year span)
THANK GOD WE HAVE A FREE AND FAIR, IMPARTIAL PRESS!
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Reminds me of the time FDR was running for reelection and gave a speech in PA (In Pittsburgh I think) that included some very controversial and politically damaging remarks. The press was starting to seize on this issue and what he said, and FDR could see it was not helping him politically. He called in a top aide, filled him in, an told him to research this and come back with the best course of action that FDR could take. After a while, the aide came back and told FDR, “The best course of action, Sir, is to deny you were ever in PA.”
TRUE STORY.
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Many of the the words they are trying to use against her, make people more likely to vote for her.
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let’s see
nationalized healthcarw
open borders
horrible on 2nd amnement
higher taxes bigger government
citizenship for illegals
bad on crime. Funded blm criminals getting out of haik
do I keep going
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Paul. Did you fall out of a coconut tree? Chuckle chuckle chuckle
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DDHQ Polling Average Update: 2024 Presidential (Michigan)
🟥 Donald Trump (R): 49.6% (+2.0)
🟦 Kamala Harris (D): 47.6%
This is R+1.8% since last week.
This average is based on 4 polls.
https://elections2024.thehill.com/michigan/harris-trump-michigan/
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She says we didn’t just fall out of a coconut tree. I agree with that.
She had descendants who owned slaves. How is that a problem. Even Frederick Douglas had descendants who owned slaves.
She raised step children and didn’t have her own children. That’s cool.
She laughs a lot. I like people who have a good sense of humor.
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She dated Willy Brown 30 years ago. Why should I care? And if it helped her career. More power to her. That’s the art of the deal.
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Paul. You’re absolutely entitled to your opinion but her schtick doesn’t play outside of nyc Chicago and California
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Hey Paul,
To find your answer, do a google search on Kamala and what she said she supported when she was running for president in 2020 in the primaries.
–abolish ICE
–let people in prison for murder, treason, voter fraud, whatever…be given the right to vote in elections while they are still incarcerated and doing their time.
–bailing out protestors who had been arrested during peaceful riots when people suffered property damage and physical injury from the peaceful protestors.
The list is fairly long…
*****************
Also, do a google search on “Kamala Harris and word salad”
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Descendant = Ancestor. I always screw that up even though I do a lot of geneology.
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I’d run a commercial with her polling numbers just four years ago in the Dem primary and end with “not good enough for Dems four years ago, not good enough for America ever”
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https://thedispatch.com/newsletter/boilingfrogs/jd-vance-cat-ladies/
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LOL, Victrc
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VictrC: Trump also was pro-choice not too long ago.
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Oh no, Kampala compared ice to the kkkk.
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Trump campaign may be suing the media for being in violation of the equal time rule.
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Trump’s a whiner.
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why Tina. What happened?
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Trump’s not getting wall-to-wall coverage because Dems cheat.
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Biden’s speech was political and equal tee vee time must e provided.
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https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2024/07/new-polling-finds-kamala-harris-hasnt-moved-needle/
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Oh no. Woe is me. I picked a horrible VP candidate who’s still got baby fat on his face and I’m complaining
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cerebrochuck, for someone who supposedly been a lurker for many years and never commented until now you sure become very bold. I am calling bs. Has to be corey or robbie.
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could be robbie, don’t think its Corey, couple trigger posts were not jumped on.
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MG since youre here, I watched today as Dem after Dem not only denied that Harris was tasked with the border, but making claims that the border was safer and less illegals under Biden. His Press Secretary even had the audacity to say they were down 55%. Talk about cherry picking statistics. LMAO
They are so blind.
Again, I think the election is going to come down to illegal immigration and inflation. After the smoke screen that the media is throwing out there covering for Harris, and the Coronation, I mean, Convention bumps, people are going to come back to reality and remember what it was like to buy groceries under Trump, and what it is like under Biden.
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Vic, the Mets are on fire 🔥. Grimace is working his magic. 😂
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All the media called her the border zar.
https://x.com/RepMTG/status/1816431629323374837
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Or however you spell it LOL
tzar, czar, tsar
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Yep, I wouldn’t pay too much attention to the polls right now. I think if you ask the average voter what has Harris accomplished in her life I bet most could only say she became VP. The Republicans have to let the voters know how incompetent she is and how far left her views are. She was the most liberal Senator in her short time in the Senate.
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The Mets are on fire. I can’t believe how lindor is playing. This is the same guy that was hitting .090 around May 1!! You know you’re going well when you catch a guy in a run down on a failed suicide squeeze in extra innings, then the same guy overruns a ball to give you the win. They scored 12 runs Wednesday and won, had 3 hits Thursday and won.
Going back to Harris, this should be played over and over and over again. The blank stare on her face after she’s knocked down after the cackle is priceless
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https://www.foxnews.com/video/6359237677112
OUCH the internet is written in ink
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This is who they think is now good enough to be President…
https://process.filestackapi.com/AG3wH2AR3SP2Mo58NZitaz/rotate=exif:true/resize=width:1200/https://cdn.filestackcontent.com/awoqHvOQBq6kD5c7x0PS
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She literally never topped 5% the last four months of the campaign.
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Dooey nailed the chia pet about the border czar.
https://x.com/kylenabecker/status/1816566252376334414?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1816566252376334414%7Ctwgr%5E13134044c273bce69368dfb448275acdf3299359%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.thegatewaypundit.com%2F2024%2F07%2Fdo-you-know-whos-handing-these-doocy-brings%2F
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General Election Poll
🟥 Trump 48% (+8)
🟦 Harris 40%
🟩 other 8%
Democracy Institute LV
Two-thirds of voters think Kamala Harris lied about Biden’s health, new poll shows
Excerpt:
The poll showed Trump securing 48 percent of the popular vote if he were to run against Harris, who received 40 percent, while eight percent said they would back other candidates.
A further breakdown of the results which included independent and third party candidates found 45 percent of voters would back Trump in an election, while 37 percent would support Harris. Independent Robert F. Kennedy Jr. scored 10 percent of the votes, while Independent Cornel West and Green Party candidate Jill Stein each secured two percent.
(Poll 24 July 2024 with 1200 likely voters)
https://www.the-express.com/news/us-news/144245/kamala-harris-Joe-biden-election-2024-poll-health-lied-voters-trump-Donald·
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NT
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